What would Texas map look like when it flips(2016 or 2020)?

[BaldEagle1991]

No way in hell Collin County, TX will flip in 2016, maybe 2020 though.

I have a feeling Denton County will be blue county sooner or later.

[BaldEagle1991]

Sure, Hispanic voting turnout in Texas is laughable, but if they keep voting at the 35% level (in theory), they would probably need to get up to 35% (or 35% in combination with Asians) of the total voters to flip the state, at minimum.

So, what would we be looking at - 15-20 years at earliest?  Of course, the Democratic party both locally and nationally, has been ignoring Texas Hispanics, making the same silly assumptions I see above.  And in the past 15 years, we've gone from Republicans regularly getting 20%-25% of the Hispanic vote in Texas, to getting 35%-40% regularly.

In the next 15 years it will go back to 20%-25% by the way things are going.

[BaldEagle1991]

You do realize Texas Hispanics are much more conservative than in many other states right? Perry got 40% of them to vote for him in 2010. Plus just look at how many Texas Republican officeholders are Hispanic. Cruz for instance is likely to to be the next senator from the state. Just because a plurality of the state is likely going to be Hispanic by the next census doesn't mean that it's going to be friendly ground for Democrats.

1. Texas Hispanics are more likely to be Protestant (40-45% of them are) and conservative than any other states, yes but those are still very small portion of the TX Hispanic population. They are actually farily Democratic compared to the GOP leaning Cuban Americans in FL.

2. He only got 40% yes, but Obama and White still got 60-65% of them in 08 and 10 respectively, so they still have a bloc with them in the state, and it's expected to grow not shrink as some of you are thinking.

3. Dewherst is more likely to win and become the next TX Senator than Cruz is.

4. That's too early to tell, but nothing in the near future is suggesting TX will stay red or that the Hispanics in TX will all become red. The Hispanics in TX are of similar stock as the Hispanics in NV and CA, and neither is going to vote differently anytime soon.