Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 12:09:23 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.
« previous next »
Pages: [1] 2
Author Topic: Predict the April 24th (CT, DE, NY, PA, RI) Primaries.  (Read 2016 times)
retromike22
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,457
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: April 20, 2012, 09:53:08 PM »

I'm have a feeling... that conservatives that don't want to be told that the nomination is over are more likely to vote than your "enthusiastic" Romney supporter. So maybe a slight Gingrich bump.

Connecticut:
Romney 75
Gingrich 10
Paul 10
Santorum 5

Delaware:
Romney 70%
Gingrich 15%
Paul 10%
Santorum 5%

New York:
Romney 60
Gingrich 25
Paul 10
Santorum 5

Pennsylvania:
Romney 50
Gingrich 30
Paul 10
Santorum 10

Rhode Island:
Romney 75
Gingrich 10
Paul 10
Santorum 5
Logged
Sec. of State Superique
Superique
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,305
Brazil


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: April 21, 2012, 07:25:41 PM »
« Edited: April 21, 2012, 07:29:53 PM by Superique »

I think that many conservatives will move to Gingrich to pressure Romney and I don't believe that Santorum will get so much votes at all...

Connecticut:
Romney 65%
Gingrich 20%
Paul 12%
Santorum 3%

Delaware:
Romney 51%
Gingrich 38%
Paul 10%
Santorum 1%

New York:
Romney 60%
Gingrich 25%
Paul 14%
Santorum 1%

Pennsylvania:
Romney 50%
Gingrich 34%
Paul 13%
Santorum 3%

Rhode Island:
Romney 70%
Gingrich 16%
Paul 11%
Santorum 3%
Logged
Blazers93
Lamrock
Rookie
**
Posts: 83
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: April 21, 2012, 07:30:32 PM »

Connecticut:
Romney 64
Paul 18
Gingrich 12
Santorum 5

Delaware:
Romney 60
Paul 19
Gingrich 15
Santorum 6

New York:
Romney 65
Gingrich 15
Paul 13
Santorum 7

Pennsylvania:
Romney 43
Santorum 28
Gingrich 15
Paul 14

Rhode Island:
Romney 58
Paul 19
Gingrich 17
Santorum 6

Honestly, Santorum may have raised his odds of winning PA by dropping out, but who knows
Logged
🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,687
Nepal


Political Matrix
E: 1.29, S: -0.70

WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: April 21, 2012, 07:57:03 PM »
« Edited: April 21, 2012, 09:10:10 PM by shua, gm »

PA
Romney     38
Santorum   31
Gingrich     16
Paul           14

DE
Romney    54
Gingrich    25
Paul          15
Santorum    4

NY
Romney     58
Gingrich     21     
Paul           19

CT
Romney    63
Gingrich    19
Paul          16

RI
Romney    65
Paul          18
Gingrich    15
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,937


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: April 21, 2012, 08:31:35 PM »

Honestly, Santorum may have raised his odds of winning PA by dropping out, but who knows

I agree with this.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,492
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: April 22, 2012, 12:42:39 AM »

Romney wins everything in huge landslides. I can't really be bothered with specific predictions anymore but I'll put one down for my home state at least.

New York:

Romney 66%
Paul 16%
Gingrich 15%
Santorum 3%

Logged
○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: April 22, 2012, 01:39:39 AM »

I don't know why some people are predicting that Santorum won't be in solid double digits in Pennsylvania. I wouldn't be shocked if he won it.
Logged
JohnnyLongtorso
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,798


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: April 22, 2012, 06:33:58 AM »

Romney wins CT, NY, RI with over 60%, PA and DE with over 50%.
Logged
morgieb
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,631
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -7.87, S: -8.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: April 22, 2012, 07:32:32 AM »

Romney wins all the states bar Pennsylvania with above 60% of the vote.
Logged
rbt48
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,060


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: April 22, 2012, 01:15:12 PM »

I expect the coronation of Romney as the GOP nominee will occur on Tuesday:

PA
Romney     43
Santorum   28
Paul           16
Gingrich     12


DE
Romney    59
Gingrich    15
Paul          15
Santorum   10

NY
Romney     68
Paul           19
Gingrich     12     


CT
Romney    69
Paul          17
Gingrich    13


RI
Romney    78
Paul          13
Gingrich      9
Logged
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: April 22, 2012, 01:21:41 PM »

I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: April 22, 2012, 01:26:12 PM »

I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.

Dean hadn't dropped out.
Logged
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: April 22, 2012, 03:22:22 PM »

I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.

Dean hadn't dropped out.

Nope, Dean dropped out in February after the Wisconsin primary.
Logged
Lambsbread
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,358
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: April 22, 2012, 03:29:59 PM »

Pennsylvania:

Romney
Santorum
Paul
Gingrich
Logged
Averroës Nix
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,289
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: April 22, 2012, 05:16:56 PM »

Connecticut
35% Huntsman
34% Romney
20% Perry
11% Paul


Delaware
35% Romney
30% Huntsman
24% Perry
10% Paul

New York
35% Huntsman
32% Romney
21% Perry
12% Paul


Pennsylvania
34% Romney
27% Perry
25% Huntsman
14% Paul

Rhode Island

40% Romney
31% Huntsman
23% Perry
  7% Paul
Logged
Lambsbread
20RP12
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,358
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.29, S: -7.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: April 22, 2012, 05:19:42 PM »

lol?
Logged
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: April 22, 2012, 07:07:41 PM »

Perry/Cain 2012!
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: April 22, 2012, 07:13:59 PM »

I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.

If Republicans in this state really wanted to prove their decency...
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,492
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: April 22, 2012, 10:29:22 PM »

Santorum won't win PA but he'll certainly make it into double digits and he'll probably come in second.
Logged
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: April 22, 2012, 11:00:11 PM »

I have a feeling that Santorum will win a Dean-style victory in PA.

Dean hadn't dropped out.

Nope, Dean dropped out in February after the Wisconsin primary.

Hmm, really?  Because I remember my mom got emails from the Dean campaign about how the huge victory in Vermont was sure to reenergize the campaign and everyone should redouble their efforts etc. etc.
Logged
Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 20,414
Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: April 22, 2012, 11:06:13 PM »

Well, Wiki says that Dean put all his last hopes into WI and dropped out when he failed.
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,492
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: April 22, 2012, 11:21:21 PM »

Dean was definitely out of the race when he won the Vermont primary. Some of us are actually old enough to remember those heady days of 2004. Tongue
Logged
jmc247
Rookie
**
Posts: 81
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: April 23, 2012, 05:20:58 PM »

Romney wins PA in the 50% range, NY in the low 70% range and everything else in the 60% range.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: April 24, 2012, 06:35:59 AM »

I think these are the poll closing times (all times Eastern):

8pm: CT, DE, PA
9pm: NY, RI

I'd be stunned if the media is still going to bother with exit polls, so I'd assume that we'll have to wait for real votes to be counted.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,155
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: April 24, 2012, 06:58:09 AM »

NY, CT and RI are all high 60s or low 70s for Romney.

DE is lower 60s for Romney.

PA is "I have no fu**ing clue". Depends if people still vote Santorum.

Probably:

50% Romney
21% Santorum
20% Gingrich
  9% Paul
Logged
Pages: [1] 2  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.06 seconds with 13 queries.