What is the most likely result of the 2012 Congressional elections? (user search)
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  What is the most likely result of the 2012 Congressional elections? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: The most likely result of the 2012 Congressional elections is a:
#1
Democratic House, Democratic Senate		  
#2
Republican House, Democratic Senate		  
#3
Democratic House, Republican Senate		  
#4
Republican House, Republican Senate		  
#5
Democratic House, 50/50 Split Senate		  
#6
Republican House, 50/50 Split Senate		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 43

Author Topic: What is the most likely result of the 2012 Congressional elections?  (Read 3338 times)
smoltchanov
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 7,384
Russian Federation


« on: April 24, 2012, 02:30:00 AM »
Quote from: perdedor on April 23, 2012, 09:21:59 PM
Boehner is saying there's a 1/3 chance that Republicans lose the house. If Romney bombs worse than expected, then it's not outside the realm of possibility.

Not very likely. 2012 seems to be more like 2004 then "waves" of 2006, 2008 and 2010. In addition - Romney seems to be at least less unpopular in very problematic for Republicans NorthEast and Pacific West. That may help some republican candidates there to hold their seats or even (admittedly - in few cases) - gain some. My present forecast (very preliminary) is about 10 seats gain for Democrats in House
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