France 2012: Official Results Thread
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  France 2012: Official Results Thread
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Author Topic: France 2012: Official Results Thread  (Read 144443 times)
MASHED POTATOES. VOTE!
Kalwejt
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« Reply #75 on: April 22, 2012, 01:15:20 PM »

Oh, and I wouldn't want to be anywhere near Segolene now Grin
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #76 on: April 22, 2012, 01:15:49 PM »

BBC not carrying the Melenchon speech. LOL.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #77 on: April 22, 2012, 01:15:54 PM »

St barthelemy (cause that wasn't leaked earlier)
Sarkozy 62.4
Le Pen 11.4
Hollande 10.1

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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #78 on: April 22, 2012, 01:18:21 PM »


Okay, they are.
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tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #79 on: April 22, 2012, 01:18:28 PM »

Bayrou can't be counted as being part of the right, however defined.

Euh, listening to him in this campaign he would rather clearly economically be on the Right.

But technically, yes, it's almost a principle for him to always stick to THE MIDDLE.

But overall, Bayrou is Bayrou, period. He would only have a chance of future if Sarkozy loses.
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Andrea
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« Reply #80 on: April 22, 2012, 01:20:57 PM »

Wallis and Futuna

Hollande 48.28
Sarkozy 37.68
Bayrou 6.40
Le Pen 2.37
Joly 1.56
Melenchon 1.19
Arthad 0.75
Dupont 0.67
Poutou 0.66
Cheminade 0.45
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ag
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« Reply #81 on: April 22, 2012, 01:22:22 PM »


Sorry, I am a clueless foreigner - only remember of France's existence at election time Smiley) And tells you how old I am Smiley)  That was the first thing I thought of googling and something came up Smiley)
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #82 on: April 22, 2012, 01:26:55 PM »

Where can someone watch official results, not the exit poll stuff ?
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #83 on: April 22, 2012, 01:29:14 PM »

http://www.google.com/elections/ed/fr/results
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mileslunn
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« Reply #84 on: April 22, 2012, 01:30:20 PM »

I thought Bayrou was centrist, so I suspect his votes would split pretty evenly between Hollande and Sarkozy in the second round much like they did in 2007.  As for the right doing better than expected, it seems in pretty much every European election the right outperforms what the polls say.  If anything like here in Canada, it might have to do with the fact the demographics that are most likely to support parties on the right typically tend to have the highest turnout.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #85 on: April 22, 2012, 01:33:30 PM »

I thought Bayrou was centrist, so I suspect his votes would split pretty evenly between Hollande and Sarkozy in the second round much like they did in 2007.  As for the right doing better than expected, it seems in pretty much every European election the right outperforms what the polls say.  If anything like here in Canada, it might have to do with the fact the demographics that are most likely to support parties on the right typically tend to have the highest turnout.

It's a bit like the shy Tory effect, I think...

Who wants people thinking they're a racist?
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tsionebreicruoc
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« Reply #86 on: April 22, 2012, 01:34:53 PM »
« Edited: April 22, 2012, 01:37:01 PM by Benwah [why on Earth do I post something] Courseyay »

Oh................................

Freaking f**king gosh...

Marine Le Pen 18

Mélenchon 11

The BBC says Le Pen is on 20....

I was taking my 1st results of itélé, they work with CSA, but apparently everybody around the world took Sofres, hopefully CSA is on something, and she doesn't break the 20% barre, freaking f**king gosh...

Sorry, france2, and apparently everybody else in the world, works with IPSOS, not Sofres, it's because my mind keeps associating Brice Teinturier to Sofres...

Apparently some other pollsters gives Le Pen 18 and Sarkozy 27. Hopefully she doesn't break the 20%...

Bayrou is arround 9 everywhere apparently so far. Douste already calling for a new (!) political force (aka movement) of the Center... That'd be those voters who gonna make this election. And tonight, what we can say is that, purely arithmetically, Hollande could need them if he wants to reach 50%...
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #87 on: April 22, 2012, 01:46:54 PM »

AFP has total results for Lozere
Sarkozy 27.8, Hollande 25.2, Le Pen 17.3, Melenchon 12.4, Bayrou 11.1
And the Ministry has total results for Creuse
Hollande 34.0, Sarkozy 22.2, Le Pen 16.3, Melenchon 13.0, Bayrou 8.3
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #88 on: April 22, 2012, 01:49:20 PM »

...which are both far ahead of daddy's 2002 figures in these places, but also good results for Hollande.
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tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #89 on: April 22, 2012, 01:50:10 PM »

Tonight, purely arithmetically, and taking IPSOS:

Left: 44%
Right: 47%
Center/Bayrou: 9%

If you assume that most of Bayrou voters would traditionally be part of the goold old UDF, then, it's rather good for Sarkozy.

But, once again, it's hard to tell of what such a FN score is done, and as for Bayrou, he can also embody a part of the anti-Sarkozist vote. Anti-Sarkozisme twistes a lot of things in the political debate of this country, and has been the main point of this campaign, so, who knows how it can turn...
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tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #90 on: April 22, 2012, 01:51:22 PM »

...which are both far ahead of daddy's 2002 figures in these places, but also good results for Hollande.

Yeah, especially if you compare the turnouts compared with 2002 whcih broke abstention records.
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Хahar 🤔
Xahar
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« Reply #91 on: April 22, 2012, 01:52:43 PM »

Hollande, Sarkozy, Le Pen, Mélenchon and Bayrou all won communes in Creuse and Lot.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #92 on: April 22, 2012, 01:53:22 PM »

That Creuse result looks good for Marine when compared with Father Le Pen's 2002 result.
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Tetro Kornbluth
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« Reply #93 on: April 22, 2012, 01:53:33 PM »

Anyone going to be willing to explain the patterns in Guyane for me? (I write more in hope than in expectation... but hey, it's the atlas).
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #94 on: April 22, 2012, 01:55:27 PM »

Lot
Hollande 34.5, Sarkozy 21.4, Melenchon 14.4, Le Pen 13.5, Bayrou 9.3 (Daddy had just 10.8% here in 2002, barely beating Saint Josse for third.)
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #95 on: April 22, 2012, 01:57:29 PM »
« Edited: April 22, 2012, 02:00:19 PM by Minion of Midas »

Ariege, though I really wonder why AFP has totally different departments up than the Government.
Hollande 34.4, Sarkozy 18.7, Melenchon 16.9, Le Pen 16.8, Bayrou 6.7

Doesn't really square with the results from elsewhere. Le Pen only slightly above 02, Hollande actually below Royal. Melenchon taking a bite out of traditional southwestern PS votes, I think? Makes you wonder who, exactly, the historical LO voters are going for...
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #96 on: April 22, 2012, 01:59:18 PM »

Aubry cuts off in favour of Marine. Gotta see humour somewhere.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #97 on: April 22, 2012, 02:02:35 PM »

Anyways, real life calls. I'll be back tomorrow after work to take a long look at the full glory of these results.
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #98 on: April 22, 2012, 02:03:48 PM »

Wow, Marine was really belting out the national anthem there...
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tsionebreicruoc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #99 on: April 22, 2012, 02:04:03 PM »

In case Sarkozy loses, UMP will be devastated, and Marine Le Pen could really take an important role. But really, tonight, nothing is done, especially when you consider that (unlike all people chanting 'Hollande has already won!!' during all the last week, how crazy), with the 2nd run it's a new campaign that begins. Will be interesting to see his behavior, if he still believes in it, then he should never be underestimated.

She just did a 'good' speech...
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