France 2012: Official Results Thread (user search)
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  France 2012: Official Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: France 2012: Official Results Thread  (Read 145749 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: April 22, 2012, 12:31:59 PM »
I'm BACK !!!

from my vacation trip to Germany. First time in 4 days I have Internet access !!! Tongue

Pics later.

So, what's the deal in France ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2012, 12:40:00 PM »
Prediction:

33% Hollande
24% Sarkozy
16% LePen
14% Melenchon
  8% Bayrou
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: April 22, 2012, 01:04:07 PM »
ARTE HD says:

28.0 Hollande
25.5 Sarkozy
19.0 Le Pen
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #3 on: April 22, 2012, 01:06:38 PM »
Boing !

20% for Le Pen seems pretty good. Maybe she get's even higher in the actual vote count ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #4 on: April 22, 2012, 01:07:36 PM »
Also, lol at the joke Melenchon.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #5 on: April 22, 2012, 01:26:55 PM »
Where can someone watch official results, not the exit poll stuff ?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #6 on: April 22, 2012, 01:53:22 PM »
That Creuse result looks good for Marine when compared with Father Le Pen's 2002 result.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #7 on: April 23, 2012, 03:15:43 AM »
Quote from: redcommander on April 23, 2012, 02:15:27 AM
I refuse to believe that France will elect Hollande.

Don't worry, Sarkozy still has a good chance to pull this out in round 2, no matter what the polls say right now.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #8 on: April 23, 2012, 03:37:58 AM »
Quote from: redcommander on April 23, 2012, 03:32:36 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 23, 2012, 03:15:43 AM
Quote from: redcommander on April 23, 2012, 02:15:27 AM
I refuse to believe that France will elect Hollande.

Don't worry, Sarkozy still has a good chance to pull this out in round 2, no matter what the polls say right now.

Are you being serious or sarcastic?

Serious.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #9 on: April 23, 2012, 10:18:48 AM »
Where can you see how the Austrian French people voted ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #10 on: April 23, 2012, 12:07:02 PM »
Quote from: Hatman on April 23, 2012, 10:23:20 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on April 23, 2012, 10:18:48 AM
Where can you see how the Austrian French people voted ?

For that matter, where can you find out how other countries voted?
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #11 on: April 23, 2012, 01:00:17 PM »
Ahhh, the French Embassy in Austria has the results of Austrian-French voters:

HOLLANDE François         32,12%
SARKOZY Nicolas         28,09%
BAYROU François         15,49%
JOLY Eva                         10,27%
MELENCHON Jean-Luc     8,68%
LE PEN Marine                   2,77%
DUPONT-AIGNAN Nicolas 1,06%
POUTOU Philippe           0,61%
CHEMINADE Jacques       0,53%
ARTHAUD Nathalie           0,37%

Good result for Joly !

http://www.ambafrance-at.org/Resultats-du-premier-tour-de-l
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #12 on: April 25, 2012, 07:53:34 AM »
New OpinionWay survey for the 2nd round:
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #13 on: April 25, 2012, 07:56:47 AM »
Still not over for Sarkozy, but it looks bleaker for him every day ... Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #14 on: April 25, 2012, 11:39:06 AM »
Quote from: Hatman on April 25, 2012, 11:28:43 AM
Im sure Royal did better among women, no?

Yepp:

http://www.ipsos.fr/ipsos-public-affairs/sondages/2nd-tour-presidentielle-2007-comprendre-vote-francais#2
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #15 on: April 25, 2012, 11:41:03 AM »
Quote from: rob in cal on April 25, 2012, 11:36:44 AM
I thought the rule of thumb was that in historically Catholic countries right leaning parties did better with women than men.  IIRC the left was against women's suffrage in France the right for it in the years before its final adoption.
     One stat among the vote intentions of the losing candidates says it all.  Melenchons voters are going 91 to 2 for Hollande, only 7% abstentions.  That kind of near unanimous left wing unity can't be good for Sarko.

Not in Austria, which can be considered a Catholic country. Here. the FPÖ has the most support among young men, while young women mostly vote Green. In general, if you combine ÖVP/FPÖ/BZÖ about 60% of men vote for them while only 55% of women vote for them.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #16 on: April 26, 2012, 12:54:17 PM »
Sarkozy is probably toast:

With 10 days to go, Hollande leads 55-45.

http://www.tns-sofres.com/_assets/files/2012.04.26-iv12.pdf
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #17 on: April 27, 2012, 09:40:02 AM »
Looks like Sarkozy has stabilized at about 46%.

The problem for him is that Bayrou's voters are now breaking for Hollande by a narrow margin.

Unless there's a big surge for him among Bayrou's and Le Pen's voters, he's done.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #18 on: May 05, 2012, 11:12:32 PM »
Great map, Hash !

Thx.

Smiley

BTW, can we not have a new results thread only for the run-off ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #19 on: May 06, 2012, 11:12:50 AM »
« Edited: May 06, 2012, 11:21:42 AM by Comrade Sibboleth »
Belgium media reports that their numbers show a Hollande win.

Edited by Your Friendly Neighbourhood Dictator. But only slightly. Hisht.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #20 on: May 06, 2012, 11:25:03 AM »
Quote from: Sharif Hashemite on May 06, 2012, 11:22:34 AM
Are you people a bunch of stupid illiterate retards? I told you NOT to post the leaked results. Now go DIAF.

Sry, didn't see it anywhere.

But who cares about if this is leaked or not ?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #21 on: May 06, 2012, 11:29:27 AM »
Btw:

Hashemite calls us "a bunch of stupid illiterate retards" when in fact the French exit pollsters are the retards and incompetents who leak their results to Belgian media.

And Hashemite: If you were serious, you should have put it into the title of the thread like "France 2012: Official Results Thread - NO EARLY LEAKS ALLOWED", so that we don't have to read 40 pages and look for where you wrote it ... Roll Eyes

Rant over.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #22 on: May 06, 2012, 12:43:28 PM »
Quote from: jaichind on May 06, 2012, 12:33:32 PM
Quote from: Sharif Hashemite on May 06, 2012, 11:22:34 AM
Are you people a bunch of stupid illiterate retards? I told you NOT to post the leaked results. Now go DIAF.

Oh. Sorry about that.  It was not clear that this was not allowed.  I for sure do not want to get this website in trouble with the French Government.

This site is not based in France, so don't worry ... Tongue
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #23 on: May 06, 2012, 01:01:27 PM »
Party time !

Smiley
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,181
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #24 on: May 06, 2012, 01:05:07 PM »
What about the "Sarkozy voter looking at 4pm Belgium news on the Internet saying Hollande leads by 53-47 and thinks: Oh sh**t, this is so close I should help my guy in the final hours ! and then Sarko-stay-at home voter goes voting so that Hollande leads the first exit poll by only 51.9-48.1 anymore" factor ?
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