France 2012: Official Results Thread (user search)
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  France 2012: Official Results Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: France 2012: Official Results Thread  (Read 145716 times)
tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« on: April 22, 2012, 12:15:25 PM »

Why does France always have such high turnout? Is it part of the whole "liberty, equality, fraternity" national psyche thing?

80% is high...but not terribly higher than most countries in Europe , no?

Italy typically has over 80% turnout. 

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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #1 on: April 22, 2012, 01:05:58 PM »

Who is this good news for?  Hollande tops the poll, but (including Bayrou) the right has a majority.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #2 on: April 23, 2012, 12:31:37 PM »

So it looks like Le Pen lost votes in conservative areas and gained in leftist areas?  Makes sense.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2012, 09:18:22 AM »

Women are more likely to want to stick with the status quo, men are more likely to want to change it.  In most Western countries the "anti-status quo" parties are the rightist ones, but in France and to a lesser extent the UK they're the leftist ones.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #4 on: April 29, 2012, 09:40:28 PM »

I suspect that some of those foreign countries might have fiddled with the votes sent in from them (the result for Melenchon in Cuba is particularly suspicious).
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #5 on: April 29, 2012, 09:52:39 PM »

We may also have to envision what sort of person a French expatriate in Cuba might be.

Fair enough, although Sarkozy's results in Libya and Armenia, and Melenchon's result in (once again Sandinista-ruled) Nicaragua also seem a little "fixed."
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,118
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.58, S: 1.65

« Reply #6 on: April 29, 2012, 10:08:07 PM »

We may also have to envision what sort of person a French expatriate in Cuba might be.

Fair enough, although Sarkozy's results in Libya and Armenia, and Melenchon's result in (once again Sandinista-ruled) Nicaragua also seem a little "fixed."

I didn't know Daniel Ortega is supervising French presidential election abroad.

It'd be trivially easy for a foreign government to commit absentee voter fraud; if they have the names and addresses of French expats they simply send requests for absentee ballots, intercept them at the post office, and fill them out themselves.  Expats in Latin America tend to be wealthy businesspeople, so a large vote for the far-left would not at all be characteristic.
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