TX-PPP: Romney by only 7

[perdedor]

It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Nice how Perry is actually a net negative for Romney here. lol Perry Fail.


Romney probably gets 55% to 60%.

[Stranger in a strange land]

It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.

Romney's going to win Texas, and probably by a fairly comfortable margin. Let's not kid ourselves. It might be a swing state by 2020 or 2024, but not 2012.

[Bacon King]

Obama's ceiling in Texas is the 44-46% range.  These numbers really don't surprise me, given the pretty strict rule that undecideds in TX always come home to the GOP.

The poll's crosstabs highlight this. Here are the undecideds in the ideological breakdown of the Obama/Romney matchup:

0% of "very liberal"
1% of "somewhat liberal"
12% of "moderate"
9% of "somewhat conservative"
5% of "very conservative"

[The Mikado]

Exactly.  The best case for Obama in TX would be something like Romney 54, Obama 45.  I don't think Obama would do that well, mind.  I said that that's the best realistic scenario.

[perdedor]

It would be interesting to see the Republicans try to do electoral math without Texas. That said, fat chance.

Romney's going to win Texas, and probably by a fairly comfortable margin. Let's not kid ourselves. It might be a swing state by 2020 or 2024, but not 2012.

Hence the "fat chance".