April 24 (NY, PA, CT, RI, DE) Results Thread

[cinyc]

So when do the polls close?

9PM Eastern in New York.

[cinyc]

Gingrich at 37% in DE....lol.

Sussex County, Delaware is pretty much the South.  Kent County is more of a mix.  I doubt Gingrich will do as well in New Castle County, which is very much the North.

[cinyc]

With a little less than half in per the state's website, Gingrich is down to 27.4% in Delaware.  As expected, New Castle County doesn't like Newt as much as the southern counties.

[cinyc]

Final Unofficial Delaware:

     NEWT GINGRICH   7550   191   7741   27.1 %
     RONALD E. PAUL   2924   93   3017   10.6 %
     MITT ROMNEY   15599   544   16143   56.5 %
     RICK SANTORUM   1471   219   1690   5.8 %

Machine Votes / Absentee Votes / Total Votes / Percentage

[cinyc]

How did Romney end up doing better in Sussex than Kent (in Delaware)?

Beach towns, perhaps?

Romney won every Delaware RD and every Connecticut town.  In Connecticut, the closest town was Franklin, where Romney won by one vote over Ron Paul with only 38%.   On the other hand, Romney crushed all opponents in tony Darien, with 84.5% of the vote.  Trumball is still out.

[cinyc]

How did Romney end up doing better in Sussex than Kent (in Delaware)?

Definitely the beach towns.  Here's the Romney percentage by RD, using the 2000 maps.  (I don't know whether the Delaware elections officials reported under the old or new House lines, assuming Delaware has even redistricted).



Note Romney's relatively good showing in the two Sussex County shore RDs.

[cinyc]

Final RI:

Romney 9,096 (63.3%)
Paul 3,424 (23.8%)
Gingrich 875 (6.1%)
Santorum 817 (5.7%)

Per the AP, Paul received over 15% in each CD and likely gets 4 of the 12 delegates which are assigned proportionately by district.  Romney should take the other 12 delegates.

[cinyc]

Can Romney reach 60% in Pennsylvania?  I think so, but maybe he ends up just shy of it.  Montgomery County is just over half reported and he is taking 67% of the vote there

No, but he'll beat his Delaware percentage.  It looks like DE<PA<NY<RI<CT for Romney, though it could be RI<NY in the end, given what's out and the Nassau understatement.

[cinyc]

Remaining drama tonight:  will Romney exceed 100,000 votes in New York.  Too close co tall right now.

Probably.  Nassau's numbers are wrong.  It's not 99% in.  Over 16,000 votes were cast there.

[cinyc]

Is it just me, or is the Obama primary vote in PA really strong for an uncontested race ?

There were contested Democratic primaries for Attorney General, US Senate and some US House and State Rep/Senate seats.  That Democrats came out to vote in them isn't surprising.

Where are you seeing the Obama results?  AP isn't reporting results there.

[cinyc]

Is it just me, or is the Obama primary vote in PA really strong for an uncontested race ?

There were contested Democratic primaries for Attorney General, US Senate and some US House and State Rep/Senate seats.  That Democrats came out to vote in them isn't surprising.

Where are you seeing the Obama results?  AP isn't reporting results there.

http://www.electionreturns.state.pa.us/ElectionsInformation.aspx?FunctionID=13&ElectionID=45&OfficeID=1

There were almost 95,000 more votes cast in the Democratic Attorney General primary than in the uncontested Democratic Presidential primary.

[cinyc]

Has anyone seen the final Presidential Primary results for New York?  I haven't seen anything beyond 93% total.

Google Politics is up to 95%.  Westchester was the most out.  They updated the total on their own website, though.  Romney ended up with 76.74% of Westchester County primary votes with 8,507 votes.  Gingrich was next with 1,011, followed by Paul with 911 and Santorum with 657.  This probably doesn't include absentees.  It certainly doesn't include absentees that trickled in on or after primary day.  Currently, that's Romney's second-best New York county showing.  He hit 78.3% in neighboring Rockland.  It's possible but unlikely that that percentage could be surpassed in Richmond (Staten Island) or New York (Manhattan) Counties.

That's because NYC is also part out, but the NYC Board of Elections' website doesn't give preliminary election results so I can't give an update there.  Elsewhere, there were some Upstate counties with a precinct or two out which shouldn't change the result much.

It looks like CT>NY>RI>PA>DE for Romney.