French legislative election 2012 (user search)
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Author Topic: French legislative election 2012  (Read 79233 times)
Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« on: May 12, 2012, 05:53:37 AM »

Melenchon has confirmed today he will run in Henin Beaumont
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2012, 12:31:19 PM »

Am I right in thinking that the deadline to present candidates expired this evening??

PS, Greens and Front de Gauche have failed to reach an agreement to present single candidates in constituencies where FN could beat the Left into third place. Basically PCF and PG wanted a certain number of winnable seats, Greens didn't want to concede too many constituencies they have already assured and the PS didn't want to give away too many winnable areas to parties that poll less than half of them.
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2012, 09:56:06 AM »

The Journal of Tahiti gives the following resullts for Polynesie constituencies

Constituency I

Mme Teaki DUPONT-TEIKIV  1131 votes
M. Karl REGURON (VEC) 408
M. Gustave HEITAA (FG)  104
Mme Poema TANG-PIDOUX (UMP) 931
M. Quito BRAUN-ORTEGA (DVD) 1258
M. Pierre FREBAULT (REG) 5512
M. Philip SCHYLE (DVD) 2533
M. Louis FREBAULT (DVG) 2758
Mme Nicole BOUTEAU (CEN) 2547
M. Teiva FORTELEONI (AUT) 358
M. Pierre MARCHESINI (AUT) 421
M. Edouard FRITCH (DVD) 11049
M. Robert ANANIA (DVD) 249
M. Ronald TEROROTUA (DVG) 222
M. Pita BENNETT (DVD) 374
Mme Tevahine MAIROTO (DVD) 311

So 36.63% for Fritch who will go to a run off against Frébault

Constituency II

Mme Sandra LEVY-AGAMI (DVD) 1324
M. Teiva MANUTAHI (DVD) 2713
M. Philippe NEUFFER (REG) 6330
M. Jaros OTCENASEK (VEC) 301
M. Tearii ALPHA (DVD) 1953
M. Jimmy PANIE (DVD) 492
M. Manea TUAHU (DVD) 926
M. Antonio PEREZ (DVD) 520
M. Edouard POROI (AUT) 188
M. Clarenntz VERNAUDON (DVD) 679
M. Bruno SANDRAS (UMP) 2421
M. Antonio SOARES-PIRES (DVD) 284
M. Jonas TAHUAITU (DVD) 7601
Mme Hinano TUNOA (AUT) 372

29.12% for Tahaitu and 24.25% for Neuffeur. Incumbent Sandras has been eliminated. Reading his bio on wikipedia, I am more surprised by the fact he was an official candidate.


Constituency III

M. René HOFFER (AUT) 108
M. Monil TETUANUI (DVG) 206
M. Gaston TETUANUI (AUT) 379
M. Nicolas BERTHOLON (DVD) 637
M. Jean-Christophe BOUISSOU (DVD) 1762
Mme Angèle TERIITAU (VEC) 346
M. Taimana ELLACOTT (AUT) 595
M. Eric MINARDI (FN) 327
M. Daniel TUAHU (DVD) 113
M. Teriiorai OOPA (DVD) 10
M. Teva ROHFRITSCH (PRV) 2793
M. Tauhiti NENA (REG) 8545
M. Gaston TONG SANG (UMP) 4604
M. John TEFAN (DVD) 878
M. Jean-Paul TUAIVA (DVD) 6692

So run off between Neva (30.52%) and Tuaiva (23.9%).
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #3 on: June 11, 2012, 06:29:28 PM »

The PS candidate in Vaucluse III decided to ignore Aubry and stand in the second round claiming that withdrawing would be like choosing between plague and cholera.

Paris IV: Brigitte Kuster withdraws. So Bernard Debré is basically elected

Bouche du Rhone XIII: as expected PS withdraws to support FG. So FG vs FN duel

Bouche du Rhone XVI: UMP withdraws calling to stop the PS candidate...so calling to vote for FN

Yvelines III: DVD withdraws to support Guaino (who will easily win the runoff)
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2012, 03:22:28 AM »
« Edited: June 12, 2012, 04:23:34 AM by Andrea »

Marine Le Pen has urged her voters to defeat

François Pupponi (PS, Val-d'Oise)
Jack Lang (PS, Vosges)
Ségolène Neuville PS, Pyrennées-Orientales)
Slimane Tir (EELV, Nord).
Manuel Aeschlimann (UMP, Hauts-de-Seine)
Georges Tron (UMP, Essonne)
Xavier Bertrand (UMP, Aisne)
Nathalie Kosciusko-Morizet (UMP, Essonne)

She hinted that a couple of FN candidates qualified for triangulaires may withdraw
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2012, 04:22:57 AM »

NKM isn't on the list ? I thought she was Le Pen's pet peeve in the UMP.

yup, she is. I forgot her in the cut and paste
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2012, 06:04:49 AM »

Valerie Trierweiler apparently gives her encouragement to Falorni on twitter (Courage à Olivier Falorni qui n'a pas démérité, qui se bat aux côtés des rochelais depuis tant d' années dans un engagement désintéressé).

If the UMP candidate Mourrut doesn't drop in Gard-2, the best chance of victory for the FN will be Vaucluse-3, where Panzermiss (Big Daddy's grand-daughter) is a candidate.

FN asks UMP to withdraw from Gard II and in exchange they would drop out in Gard III


in Saint Denis, PS withdraws against Buffet. Same thing for the Green against François Asensi.
Jean-Pierre Brard to withdraw too (along with no hoper FG candidate in constituency I and VI) to leave PS candidates alone.
The local federation has asked Patrick Braouezec to stay in the race in the second constituency even if the agreement asked him to drop out.
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Andrea
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #7 on: June 12, 2012, 09:37:01 AM »

Perpignan-Rivesaltes: FN withdraws
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Andrea
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #8 on: June 12, 2012, 12:37:14 PM »
« Edited: June 12, 2012, 12:49:53 PM by Andrea »

Vaucluse-5: FN drops out to stop the Left. Marine doesn't seem to approuve it

Aisne-1: the PS candidate didn't drop out even if his national party told him to do so and support Dosiere
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #9 on: June 14, 2012, 06:12:15 AM »
« Edited: June 15, 2012, 12:07:31 PM by Andrea »

Elected by default because they will be the only candidates on the ballot papers on Sunday

Paris- 4: Bernard Debré (UMP)
Seine St Denis- 1: Bruno Le Roux (PS)
Seine St Denis- 4: Marie-George Buffet (FG)
Seine St Denis-6: Elizabeth Guigou (PS)
Seine St Denis-7: Razzy Hammadi (PS)
Seine St Denis-11 François Asensi (FG)
Hauts de Seine-1: Alexis Bachelay (PS)
Cher-2: Nicolas Sansu (FG)
Nord-16: Jean Jacques Candelier (FG)
Nord-17: Marc Dolez (FG)
Nord-19: Anne-Lise Dufour-Tonini (PS)
Val de Marne-10: Jean Luc Laurent (MRC)
Val de Marne- 11: Jean-Yves Le Bouillonnec (PS)
Seine Maritime-3: Luce Pane (PS)
Seine Maritime-8: Catherine Troallic (PS)

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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #10 on: June 14, 2012, 06:47:42 AM »
« Edited: June 14, 2012, 06:58:34 AM by Andrea »

Can we find a list of all qualified candidates who dropped out somewhere ? I'm curious to see how it will affect certain races.

Didier Codorniou (PS dissident in Aude-2
René Raimondi (PS) in Bouches du Rhone-13
Roland Chassain (UMP) in Bouchces du Rhone-16
Magali Deval (Greens) in Finistère-3
Christian Troadec (PS dissident) in Finistère-6
Alain Fillola (PS dissident) in Haute-Garonne-3
Michel Grall (UMP) in Morbihan-2
Hervé Poher (PS dissident) in Pas de Calais-6
Irina Kortanek (FN) in Pyrénées Orientales-2
Olivier Delaporte (UMP dissident) in Yvelines-3
Martine Fuiorili Beaunier (FN) in Vaucluse-5
Marie Helene Amiable (FG) in Hauts de Seine- 11

+ the 12 challengers of the candidates listed in my previous post (but I don't think you are interested in them and so I will save my time not to list all of them).
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Andrea
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #11 on: June 15, 2012, 04:58:05 AM »

IFOP has a poll out for Essone-4
Nathalie Kosciusco-Morizet 51.5%
PS 48.5%

She gets 53% of FN votes. He gets 90% of Front de Gauche's voters and 18% of FN's first round support.

BVA for Vaucluse-3

Marion 36.5% UMP 34.5% PS 29%

I guess this poll is useful for UMP in the end. It should improve the "vote utile".
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #12 on: June 15, 2012, 12:12:40 PM »
« Edited: June 15, 2012, 12:15:44 PM by Andrea »

) BTW, here are the corrected totals accounting for qualified candidates who dropped out (this is based on Andrea's list, as I have no idea how to verify by myself).

I've spotted a mistake in my original list. I then added 3 more PS who are running as only candidates on Sunday. It's due to 3 more FG withdrawals (Val de Marne 11, Seine Maritime 3 and Cool
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #13 on: June 15, 2012, 02:58:34 PM »

) BTW, here are the corrected totals accounting for qualified candidates who dropped out (this is based on Andrea's list, as I have no idea how to verify by myself).

I've spotted a mistake in my original list. I then added 3 more PS who are running as only candidates on Sunday. It's due to 3 more FG withdrawals (Val de Marne 11, Seine Maritime 3 and Cool

Rectified accordingly. Smiley Where do you get your sources ? From the news, or is there an official list somewhere ?


I got from the number of "candidats uniques" from the news. Some of them were mentioned in the articles, others not and I had to double check with the list of candidates on the ministry website. However, as they basically all were in Left-Left battles, it was quite easy to idenfity what kind of departments were likely to have them (or going by memory).

I got the list of 12 who dropped out from triangulaires from a news website. I just verified these constituencies checking the candidates lists as their number made sense when comparing potential triangulaires reported on Monday morning to the number of effective triangulaires reported on Wednesday by the media.
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #14 on: June 17, 2012, 05:41:47 AM »

82.81% turnout in Wallis-et Futuna

Turnout at midday in mainland France: 21.41% (last Sunday: 21.06%; second round 2007: 22.89%
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #15 on: June 17, 2012, 12:57:43 PM »

Segolene is spoilering live on France 2.
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Andrea
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #16 on: June 17, 2012, 01:05:27 PM »

Bye bye Nadine.

Marion leading according to FR2 journalist
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #17 on: June 17, 2012, 01:08:29 PM »

Marine Le Pen beaten according to France 2
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #18 on: June 17, 2012, 01:16:51 PM »

Philippot has been defeated 53.7% to 46.3
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #19 on: June 17, 2012, 01:23:01 PM »

Greens have won Doubs-2 and Calvados-5 50.something to 49.something
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Andrea
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #20 on: June 17, 2012, 01:35:26 PM »

Jean Lassalle survives

Collard won by 1.3%
42.82 PS 41.56 UMP 15.63
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Andrea
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #21 on: June 17, 2012, 01:54:26 PM »

How can there be no results from Wallis & Futuna yet?

It has just been flashed on the bottom of the screen on Fr2. DVD gain by 0.something.
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #22 on: June 17, 2012, 02:06:16 PM »
« Edited: June 17, 2012, 02:11:17 PM by Andrea »

Renucci lost in Corse.
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #23 on: June 17, 2012, 02:15:24 PM »

Vauzelle 51.29
FN 48.71
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Andrea
Jr. Member
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Posts: 718
Italy
« Reply #24 on: June 17, 2012, 03:36:45 PM »

North America

Corinne Narassiguin (PS-EELV) 54.01%
Frédéric Lefebvre (UMP) 45.99%
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