NV: Rasmussen: Heller with commanding lead

[Miles]

Here we go.

Dean Heller (R)- 51%
Shelley Berkley (D)- 40%

[Miles]

I think I've heard some bad things about Berkley's campaign...I'm not exactly sure though.

[Miles]

I don't think Heller is as vulnerable here as many think. I suspect it'll be lean GOP on election day.

The same sample has Obama up 8 in Nevada. Heller is leading of course by a large margin because he is a great candidate with crossover appeal.

You do know that this is the only poll here that shows the candidates more than 10 points apart?

I agree that Heller is up, but he isn't up by 11.

[Miles]

Harry Reid faced token opposition as an long time elected incumbent, this not an equal situation.

Exactly. Richard Ziser was a nut who ran on the sole issue of stopping gay marriage.

Reid was also somewhat popular back then.

[Miles]

Of course, the 2004 situation is about as close as equal as one is likely to get. Dean Heller has been elected already by the people of Nevada.

He's been elected (repeatedly) by about a third of the people of Nevada. Are you treating either them or perhaps Brian Sandoval as a synecdoche of the entire state?

Well, Heller was elected SoS between 1994 and 2006. I thought you'd rather have me call you out on that than krazen!