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Author Topic: Presidential Election Predictions for your home state  (Read 7476 times)
Cory Booker
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« Reply #25 on: May 02, 2012, 02:05:42 pm »

Barack 61-36 same as last time and Champaign and Dupage will go democratic again.
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Penelope
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« Reply #26 on: May 02, 2012, 02:07:46 pm »

51/47 Obama
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NVGonzalez
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« Reply #27 on: May 02, 2012, 02:23:55 pm »

Obama 54
Romney 44

I think Obama will win NV for sure, but by THAT MARGIN?!?!

It's a smaller margin than 2008.

Oh yeah I see.

And actually I'm being very conservative with my prediction here. If things don't change that could go up to 56-43.
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« Reply #28 on: May 02, 2012, 02:43:39 pm »

NY will go 55-60% dem
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« Reply #29 on: May 02, 2012, 11:35:58 pm »

55-44 Romney
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« Reply #30 on: May 03, 2012, 12:38:10 am »

Eh, perhaps....

52-46 Obama, Mittens only doing slightly worse than McCain after a long campaign.
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I'll come up with one later.
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« Reply #31 on: May 03, 2012, 09:43:54 am »

Michigan 59-41.

Auto bail-out, largest percentage of African-Americans north of the Mason-Dixon Line.
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« Reply #32 on: May 03, 2012, 06:21:33 pm »

I don't think Obama will achieve the same (or a higher) margin of victory here compared to 2008. I'd guess his vote percentage will most likely be between 53-55% in 2012
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« Reply #33 on: May 04, 2012, 08:46:09 pm »

I see the Democrats are making predictions like it's May, 1980.

My real home, the economic powerhouse of the nation and the one everyone wishes they could claim to be natives of, will crush Obama something like 59-41.  My state-of-exile with its southern half full of idiot Yankee refugees, will still pound Obama by something like 53-47.

Meanwhile, I should keep track of all these predictions.  Smiley
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« Reply #34 on: May 04, 2012, 11:59:02 pm »

California (my step-dad's former state) will vote Obama 60-39.
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R2D2
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« Reply #35 on: May 05, 2012, 09:47:43 am »

Pennsylvania:

Obama 55
Romney 45
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« Reply #36 on: May 05, 2012, 09:49:02 am »

Colorado:

53-45
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #37 on: May 05, 2012, 10:50:46 am »

Mississippi

57-42 Romney
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« Reply #38 on: May 05, 2012, 01:11:13 pm »

I see the Democrats are making predictions like it's May, 1980.

Obama could lose, but this is nothing like 1980. The world is different, the election issues are way different. Romney is not Reagan, Obama is not Carter.
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« Reply #39 on: May 05, 2012, 05:12:22 pm »

Too close to call at the moment. Romney isn't Reagan by a long shot but Obama the anti-Reagan is Carter times 10.

The Indiana base does not like either.
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« Reply #40 on: May 05, 2012, 05:31:05 pm »

I've always wondered why Indiana is so conservative compared to other Midwestern states?
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« Reply #41 on: May 05, 2012, 05:46:29 pm »

I've always wondered why Indiana is so conservative compared to other Midwestern states?

No big metropolis like Illinois
Not as many unionized manufacturing workers like in Ohio
Not as large of an urban African American population like Michigan
No large progressive Scandinavian population like Wisconsin or Minnesota

Indiana basically has all of the Republican voters typical in the Midwest without any of the Democratic ones

I still don't know exactly how Indiana voted for Obama. I'm sure being wedged in between a swing state and Obama's home state had a large effect on people there. I figure a lot of Indianans voted for Obama out of sheer economic desperation. A lot of them will probably revert back to the GOP as the typical culture war/post-modern economic issues take center stage, rather than the "holy crap we're all screwed" meme of 2008.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #42 on: May 06, 2012, 01:11:32 am »

I've always wondered why Indiana is so conservative compared to other Midwestern states?

No big metropolis like Illinois
Not as many unionized manufacturing workers like in Ohio
Not as large of an urban African American population like Michigan
No large progressive Scandinavian population like Wisconsin or Minnesota

Indiana basically has all of the Republican voters typical in the Midwest without any of the Democratic ones

I still don't know exactly how Indiana voted for Obama. I'm sure being wedged in between a swing state and Obama's home state had a large effect on people there. I figure a lot of Indianans voted for Obama out of sheer economic desperation. A lot of them will probably revert back to the GOP as the typical culture war/post-modern economic issues take center stage, rather than the "holy crap we're all screwed" meme of 2008.

Gary, Indiana doesn't count?
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« Reply #43 on: May 06, 2012, 01:14:31 am »

My real home, the economic powerhouse of the nation and the one everyone wishes they could claim to be natives of, will crush Obama something like 59-41.  My state-of-exile with its southern half full of idiot Yankee refugees, will still pound Obama by something like 53-47.

You're a native of Texas currently living in Florida?  
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #44 on: May 06, 2012, 01:16:48 am »

My real home, the economic powerhouse of the nation and the one everyone wishes they could claim to be natives of, will crush Obama something like 59-41.  My state-of-exile with its southern half full of idiot Yankee refugees, will still pound Obama by something like 53-47.

You're a native of Texas currently living in Florida?  

I don't think Obama will get that low in TX....pffft...Plus TX despite the oil, defense, and other industries, it's a poor state, I don't see how it's an economic powerhouse, I LIVE HERE.
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« Reply #45 on: May 06, 2012, 09:56:37 am »

I've always wondered why Indiana is so conservative compared to other Midwestern states?

No big metropolis like Illinois
Not as many unionized manufacturing workers like in Ohio
Not as large of an urban African American population like Michigan
No large progressive Scandinavian population like Wisconsin or Minnesota

Indiana basically has all of the Republican voters typical in the Midwest without any of the Democratic ones

I still don't know exactly how Indiana voted for Obama. I'm sure being wedged in between a swing state and Obama's home state had a large effect on people there. I figure a lot of Indianans voted for Obama out of sheer economic desperation. A lot of them will probably revert back to the GOP as the typical culture war/post-modern economic issues take center stage, rather than the "holy crap we're all screwed" meme of 2008.

Gary, Indiana doesn't count?

I mean, it counts in that it's a large, heavily black city, but it still doesn't add up to the AA population in Michigan, Illinois or even Ohio. Indiana is only 9% black.
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Thomas D
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« Reply #46 on: May 06, 2012, 10:23:49 am »

Obama 60-38
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« Reply #47 on: May 06, 2012, 01:07:16 pm »

Romney 56
Obama 43
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sjoyce
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« Reply #48 on: May 06, 2012, 01:09:54 pm »

Florida: Obama 50, Romney 47
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SUSAN CRUSHBONE
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« Reply #49 on: May 06, 2012, 01:12:32 pm »

Illinois: 62-36 Obama.
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