Beet
Atlas Star
Posts: 28,915
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« on: May 06, 2012, 02:27:11 PM » |
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That's funny, their chart of what the approval rating 'should' be (black):
vs what it actually is (red), shows that the actual rating is consistently higher than the predicted one. That means there's something wrong with their model, not the rating. Most notably, Reagan and Eisenhower's second term both had ratings higher than predicted by the model by a similar margin as Obama. Similarly, Bush II, Clinton, and the first half of Bush I's presidencies all had ratings consistently higher than predicted by the model. So did Carter, Ford, and pre-Nixon Watergate, and Kennedy. In fact, the only President who the model predicts well is Johnson.
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