The Big May 6 Prediction Thread

[Tender Branson]

voting takes place "from sunrise to sunset" but times are usually rounded to the nearest "top of the hour" (e.g., 7 am to 8 pm)

That's one of the most ridiculous election laws I've ever heard of.

[Kushahontas]

XA 15%
ND in 2nd

[Insula Dei]

I'm going to say Hollande wins 53-47.

Greece is difficult but ND seems pretty certain to be the largest party.

Oh, and SPD-Greens-SSW with a majority in S-H.

[Niemeyerite]

France:

Hollande 53.4%
Sarkozy 46.6%

Greece:

ND 18%
SRYZA 16%
PASOK 12.5%
XA 10.5%
ANEL 10%
KKE 10%
DIMAR 6%
Greens 4.5%
LAOS 3.5%
DISY 3%
KOISY 1.5%
ANTARSYA 1%
Others 3.5%

Germany (S-H):

SPD 33.5%
CDU 31%
Greens 11.5%
Pirates 6.5%
FDP 6.5%
SSW 5%
Left 2.5%
Others 3.5%

[Beet]

So the good news is that XA only got 7%; the bad news is that they apparently got 13% among young voters, just behind SYRIZA with 16%.