Israeli general election 2012 (user search)
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  Israeli general election 2012 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Israeli general election 2012  (Read 2413 times)
ag
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« on: May 04, 2012, 11:07:12 PM »

If these results pan out... whats the most likely coalition goverment going to look like? who's in, who's out.

Good improvement for Labour from what i can see, probably mostly coming off the decline of Kadima. Is Israel going back to a left (labour) vs right (likud) knesset?

That would be up to Bibi, hard to say what he would choose.


Well, how much of a choice would he have? Would a Likud/YB/Kadima/Lapid government sans the religious be possible (not merely numerically, which seems inevitable, but also ideologically)? If yes, of course, he'd have choice.
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ag
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« Reply #1 on: May 05, 2012, 02:24:36 PM »

Would Lapid and Kadima insist on, actually, negotiating, or would they be fine w/ the "Trotskyite" ("neither peace, nor war") approach of Likud?  Who will be the people on Lapid's list?
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ag
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« Reply #2 on: May 07, 2012, 09:27:05 PM »

Quite some news tonight, ain't it?

The remerger of Likud and Kadima happening ahead of schedule Smiley) Will anybody defect?
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ag
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« Reply #3 on: May 08, 2012, 04:20:14 PM »


Kadima has most to gain by this since they were going to get destroyed in the election. Labour are the biggest losers (maybe along with the Haredim) as they were up in the polls and would become the second party, and they might have to wait a year and a half.

Well, that's if you look VERY short-term. Longer term, though, Kadima is likely to be cannibalized by Likud and Labor (if you like the government, why not vote for Likud, which is determining its policies? If you hate the government, you should be voting for the opposition). Being in bed w/ Netaniyahu has done wonders for Barak's political prospects, hasn't it? Iz Mofaz seriously hoping to do better? More likely, he is simply going w/ his instincts and political preferences: and those are taking him to back to Likud.

This is the resumption of the normal service: the return of the sharonniks into the fold.  Likud and Labor will be the beneficiaries: that's what is normal service in Israel, isn't it?
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