Will Barack Obama win Utah?

[So rightwing that I broke the Political Compass!]

The lead margin for Romney over Obama in Utah is 40%. Obama's lead margin in Massachusetts is only 10%.

Your attempt to mock me falls flat if you look at those numbers. A 5% increase in Romney's vote is very plausible, whereas a 20% increase for Obama would be entirely unprecedented.

[So rightwing that I broke the Political Compass!]

The lead margin for Romney over Obama in Utah is 40%. Obama's lead margin in Massachusetts is only 10%.

Your attempt to mock me falls flat if you look at those numbers. A 5% increase in Romney's vote is very plausible, whereas a 20% increase for Obama would be entirely unprecedented.

Obama won Massachussets by 25 points. Ignore Scott Rasmussen's trolling and YouGov, which is a really terrible poster (don't they do online polls? lol).

Romney will probably do a little better than McCain. He might lose by 20 or 18 or whatever instead of 25. That would be about a five point increase, sure.

But theirs also various PPP polls. They're all over the place though... some backing me up, some contradicting me. And theirs a Suffolk University poll.

[So rightwing that I broke the Political Compass!]

The lead margin for Romney over Obama in Utah is 40%. Obama's lead margin in Massachusetts is only 10%.

Your attempt to mock me falls flat if you look at those numbers. A 5% increase in Romney's vote is very plausible, whereas a 20% increase for Obama would be entirely unprecedented.

Why? Barack Obama could turn into the new messiah over the course of the next six months and the entire Mormon clan could end up singing kumbaya in a circle with him. Again, anything is possible. Also, that poll is a year old, I am sure Utahans have warmed up to the new messiah since.

Thread creator, you respond to my maths with mockery. Maths>Mockery.

[So rightwing that I broke the Political Compass!]

Oh, by the way, even ignoring polling (which you yourself suggested doing in that thread based on the fact that Indiana wasn't considered a swing state early on), there's no logical reason that Romney would win or even come reasonably close in MA. None.

That's an assertion, not an argument. Back it up with some facts or figures.

[So rightwing that I broke the Political Compass!]

Oh, by the way, even ignoring polling (which you yourself suggested doing in that thread based on the fact that Indiana wasn't considered a swing state early on), there's no logical reason that Romney would win or even come reasonably close in MA. None.

That's an assertion, not an argument. Back it up with some facts or figures.

This is coming from a poster who's confidently predicting a second Great Depression within the next couple of months? Uhuh.

No, I've said either 2012 or 2013. I'll eat my own cock if it hasn't happened come the end of 2013.

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I can't see a plausible catalyst for that, it would have to be some out of the blue scandal. However, Texas is clearly trending Dem... either 2020 or 2024 will mark the tipping year, I'd say.

He could of probably won it in 2008 if the GFC had started at the end of 2007 rather then the end of 2008.

[So rightwing that I broke the Political Compass!]

Oh, by the way, even ignoring polling (which you yourself suggested doing in that thread based on the fact that Indiana wasn't considered a swing state early on), there's no logical reason that Romney would win or even come reasonably close in MA. None.

That's an assertion, not an argument. Back it up with some facts or figures.

This is coming from a poster who's confidently predicting a second Great Depression within the next couple of months? Uhuh.

No, I've said either 2012 or 2013. I'll eat my own cock if it hasn't happened come the end of 2013.

Can we hold you to that?

Most certainly. Everything is alligned for it... the European situation, the Chinese bubble poised to burst, Middle Eastern instability, crazy teabaggers controlling the house of representatives, increasing social friction....

[So rightwing that I broke the Political Compass!]

If Obama converts to Mormonism he almost certainly will. Downside is he'll probably lose Massachusetts then.

Off topic, but has their ever been a president(or head of state anywhere) that converted whilst holding power?