Barring a second 9/11 in October, you're smoking something mighty foul if you think he has a chance at any of these
Polls aren't worth a steaming pile of dogsh-t. Traditionally, undecideds trend away from the incumbent, and the latest poll I saw had Undecideds at around 5% in MO and AZ. Just remember that in 1980 polling was close the week before election day, but over the weekend all undecideds broke for Reagan.
What about Iowa and new mexico in 2004? Arizona and Florida in 1996?
I don't think Obama is looking as good right now as Slick Willy was in 96. No matter how much Dems like to believe it, there is no way he's gonna win as many popular or electoral votes as he did last year. Now with that gay marriage stunt he pulled (okay, after 4 years in office you decide your positions. Really big change we got here from previous presidents) MO, VA, NC, Iowa, and his shots at FL are gone. PA is also more conservative than people would think, and I believe most people believe in states rights regarding marriage. Period. He can still win, but by the skin of his balls. And he needs OH. If he loses MI too, he's dead. The only way he wins is by 2000-esque margins.
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