There's a new website here called http://thereal2012delegatecount.com and it's bad news for my man Romney.
1,660 delegates are TBD in upcoming state conventions.
Paul's been able to capture 75%-95% of delegates in conventions thus far. If he comes anything close to that in the state conventions coming up, he will be nominated on the first ballot.
According to the site, Romney only has 322 "hard" delegates (delegates from states that have finished their process). Paul swept 15/15 CD delegates in Virginia, and will likely sweep another 9 on May 19. That wipes out another Romney state.
And this site is being generous to Romney - for example, it assigns him 8 "hard" delegates in Alaska to just 6 for Paul, but someone on this forum noted awhile back that Paul actually has an absolute majority of the Alaska delegates in support, even though some of them are still bound to Romney. At the convention, they'll be abstaining the first round and going Paul on the second round.
If this site is to be believed, the only major states that the Paulites will not be able to hijack is Ohio.
I'm increasingly believing that Paul not only could, but will win the nomination.
Notwithstanding your genuinely interesting analysis in the paragraphs preceding the bolded sentence, your predictions generally suck balls. Sorry dude.
