Why Obama looks better in the electoral college

[nkpatel1279]

The states that Obama carried in 2008 by a double digit margin= 253ev. This includes
CA-55,NY-29,IL-20,PA-20,MI-16,NJ-14,WA-12,MA-11,MD-10,MN-10,and WI-10.  
The states that Bush43 carried in 2004 by at least a high single digit margin=248ev. This includes AZ-11,AR-6,FL-29,IN-11,KY-8,LA-8,MO-10,MT-3,NC-15,TN-11,VA-13,and WV-5= 248ev.
The states that are in play in CO-9,IA-6,NH-4,and OH-18.
OH-18 is always a tossup state. If Obama-D wins OH-18 he wins re-election. If he loses OH-18. he will need to carry CO-9,IA-6,and NH-4.
CO-9 has went from a Lean Republican State (2000/2004) to a Lean Democratic State(2008/2012).  After 2012- It will be a likely DEM state.  262ev.
NH-4 is only competitive because Romney-R is from the neighboring state of MA-11.
Obama-D is going to win narrowly win IA-6 and NH-4.