Well, up front I'll state that I['m opposed to gay marriage but that is incidental, I suppose.
This definitely won't hurt him as much as it would have if he had come out in favor of polygamy! As for specific states:
- He can definitely kiss off carrying North Carolina and Indiana this year.
- Any chance he had for Missouri is out the window.
- I suspect it will hurt his chances of keeping Ohio. Evangelicals will come out more strongly for Romney and his support among Catholics in Toledo and northeast Ohio will suffer.
- It will strengthen him in his core states of NY, MA, VT, CA, WA, OR, perhaps CO and VA.
- It could hurt just enough in Iowa to cost him those 6 EVs.
I'm troubled by why he even makes the announcement. It's not like he can overturn DOMA or change Supreme Court opinions into mandating it as a civil right. Don't we have enough challenges in the country that this announcement by his holiness is off the wall?
- Get the economic recovery in gear.
- Figure out how to fund social security and medicare.
- Stop the bleeding my our troops in Afghanistan.
On balance, I view this as an attempt (and it will be hugely successful) to bring in lots of dollars from his key support base who may have been somewhat luke-warm to his campaign, to get media attention (and favorable at that since the elite liberal media now have renewed passion to spew out on the main networks and MSNBC, and take attention over his otherwise miserable record.
That's why. He is building his firewall in case the popular vote goes for Romney.
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