NC Amendment 1 results Map

[nclib]

Dare County was the most surprising. It's in the Outer Banks so tourism could be a factor.

Proud to live in the Triangle--only 8 counties voted against, 4 of which were in the Triangle.

Miles, if you could make more precinct maps which map both variables together (i.e. one color = Obama, pro-gay, another color = Obama, anti-gay, etc.) that would be great.

8,000 posts BTW

[nclib]

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For Chatham, I'd say its because of its proximity to Chapel Hill; there was a huge GOTV the vote effort there.

Exactly. Chatham has a rural feel, but there are a good number of people who are still part of the Chapel Hill community, who are looking for a cheaper or bigger place.

Also, Guilford only missed by .06%.

Comparing Against % minus Obama % of 2 party vote:

Best overperformance:

Orange   6.30%
Dare   5.27%
Carteret   1.68%
New Hanover   0.48%
Wake   -0.54%

Dare, Carteret, and New Hanover are all right on the coast.

Worst underperformance:

Robeson   -43.18%
Hertford   -40.98%
Bertie   -38.45%
Edgecombe   -37.66%
Vance   -36.41%

Robeson is 38.4% Native American and 24.3% Black. Hertford, Bertie, and Edgecombe are majority black. Vance is plurality black.

Worst underperformance among majority white counties:

Bladen   -34.31%
Columbus   -31.08%
Richmond   -28.15%
Sampson   -27.85%
Tyrrell   -27.53%

[nclib]

What do you mean by "worst underperformance"?

Worst % for the anti-amendment (pro-gay) side compared to (minus) Obama% of the 2-party vote in 2008, by county.

The urban/rural split is very large--only 11 (out of 100) counties voted more pro-gay than the state average--the 8 counties where it didn't pass, and Guilford (Greensboro), New Hanover (Wilmington), and Forsyth (Winston-Salem).

[nclib]

Miles, would you assume that only NC-4 and NC-12 voted against? Results by 2000s CD lines would be much more interesting (since they actually reflect communities of interest)--likely NC-4, NC-12, and NC-13 would be against along with perhaps NC-2 or NC-8.

[nclib]

Keep the maps coming, Miles. Though the precinct data outside urban areas is bleak--only 40 (of 100) counties even have at least one precinct against the amendment.

[nclib]

Comparing the 2012 presidential vote with the anti-gay amendment (more telling than 2008), the counties where the anti-amendment vote outdid Obama's % of 2-party vote are:

Dare   8.67%
Orange   7.49%
Carteret   4.80%
Watauga   2.42%
New Hanover   2.09%
Chatham   1.44%
Moore   1.17%
Wake   0.94%

Orange, Chatham, and Wake are in the Triangle; Dare, Carteret, and New Hanover are on the coast; Watauga is App. State Univ.; Moore is surprising since it is a retiree and golfing area.

The counties where the anti-amendment did the "worst" were:   

Robeson   -45.03%
Hertford   -42.40%
Bertie   -39.52%
Edgecombe   -38.51%
Vance   -37.23%

Robeson is 38.4% Native American and 24.3% Black. Hertford, Bertie, and Edgecombe are majority black. Vance is plurality black.

For white maj. counties, the "worst" are:
   
Bladen   -34.26%
Columbus   -31.12%
Richmond   -28.88%
Sampson   -26.61%
Gates   -25.66%