PPP-IA 2016: Clinton 62% Biden 14%; Huckabee 16% Santorum 16% Christie 15% (user search)
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  PPP-IA 2016: Clinton 62% Biden 14%; Huckabee 16% Santorum 16% Christie 15% (search mode)
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Author Topic: PPP-IA 2016: Clinton 62% Biden 14%; Huckabee 16% Santorum 16% Christie 15%  (Read 5203 times)
Mr. Morden
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Posts: 44,066
United States


« on: May 10, 2012, 03:58:51 PM »

PPP 2016 poll of Iowa:

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_IA_050912.pdf

Clinton 62%
Biden 14%
Cuomo 4%
Warren 4%
Feingold 2%
Schweitzer 2%
O'Malley 1%
Warner 0%

If Clinton doesn't run:

Biden 28%
Cuomo 14%
Warren 10%
Feingold 9%
Schweitzer 2%
Warner 1%
O'Malley 0%

If neither Biden nor Clinton run:

Cuomo 17%
Feingold 15%
Warren 13%
Schweitzer 4%
O'Malley 3%
Warner 1%

Clinton actually does better among self-described liberals than self-described moderates, and she's at 66% among women and 57% among men.  She also does better with voters over 45.

GOP:

Huckabee 16%
Santorum 16%
Christie 15%
J. Bush 10%
Palin 10%
Rand Paul 9%
Rubio 7%
Ryan 5%
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #1 on: May 11, 2012, 07:36:54 AM »

What, specifically, is the source of the Cuomo hate from the Dems here?  I haven't really followed his term as guv very closely.

Anyway, who's winning on the GOP side among each demographic group:

Tea Party member: Christie
not Tea Party member: Christie/Santorum tie
not sure if Tea Party member: Huckabee
Evangelical: Huckabee
not Evangelical: Bush
moderate: Paul
somewhat conservative: Christie
very conservative: Santorum
men: Santorum
women: Huckabee
Republicans: Huckabee/Santorum tie
Independents: Christie/Paul tie
age 18-45: Santorum
age 46-65: Huckabee
older than 65: Christie/Huckabee tie

Democratic candidates' favorable/unfavorable ratings among Democratic voters:

Clinton 88/6 for +82
Biden 76/6 for +70
Warren 31/8 for +23
Feingold 28/11 for +17
Cuomo 26/17 for +9
Warner 10/11 for -1
O'Malley 6/7 for -1
Schweitzer 7/9 for -2

Republican candidates' favorable/unfavorable ratings among Republican voters:

Huckabee 69/12 for +57
Palin 70/17 for +53
J. Bush 62/9 for +53
Santorum 68/17 for +51
Rand Paul 54/15 for +39
Rubio 46/7 for +39
Ryan 44/8 for +36
Christie 50/16 for +34

Biden and Clinton have extremely high name recognition, but the rest of the prospective Democratic candidates are all pretty unknown, with less than 50% having an opinion of them.  Whereas all of the prospective Republican candidates being polled here have >50% with an opinion of them.  Yes, strange as this would have been a couple of years ago, Paul Ryan and Marco Rubio are now both more famous than Russ Feingold.

Clinton's favorables among Dems are incredibly good (especially in a state where she came in 3rd in the 2008 caucuses).  When was the last time any presidential candidate began a race with numbers like that, aside from incumbent presidents?
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Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,066
United States


« Reply #2 on: May 11, 2012, 08:15:22 PM »


Republicans still love Palin, though most don't want her to be president.

And no one knows who Schweitzer is, and people with very low name recognition tend to get poor fav/unfav ratios.
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