What states will be unanimous in counties?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

In 2008 McCain won every county in Oklahoma. Obama won every county in every New England state except Maine, and Hawaii.

Romney probably wins every county in Oklahoma again, the only other possible state I can see is Utah, but Grand and Summit counties aren't very Mormon-heavy so even that isn't guaranteed. Oklahoma is the only one I'd say sure for Romney, and 50/50 for Utah.

For Obama, Romney will obviously win counties in New Hampshire, and many think he'll take some in Massachusetts (though I am skeptical as no Republican has in the last five elections.) In Vermont Essex is obviously not guaranteed and I'd say Romney has a better chance at Litchfield in Connecticut than any Massachusetts County. However there is no way I can see Romney winning any counties in Rhode Island, and obviously not Hawaii. I'd give Obama RI and Hawaii guaranteed, more likely than not in Massachusetts, around 50/50 in Connecticut, an outside shot at Vermont, and New Hampshire probably out of reach this time.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Romney: possibly West Virginia

Yeah, no. Obama's still polling in high 30's to low 40's even when undecideds are counted. He'll at least win McDowell and Boone, and probably Jefferson since it's an extension of NOVA.

Obama is deeply unpopular in West Virginia - I mean, come on, he beat a federal prisoner by less than 20 points. That's embarrassing for an incumbent President. My guess is, if that many are willing to vote for a no-name against Obama, a good chunk of them will vote for Romney over Obama. His policies aren't popular in West Virginia; same with his race, I'd say.

And he still got more votes than Romney.

He might not be popular, but he wasn't any more popular in 2008 when he won several counties.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Romney probable: Nebraska

You think Romney will win Thurston County?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

No Southern state will be a shut out, that's for sure.  I could see Obama repeating 2008, so all of New England sans Maine and New Hampshire, plus Hawaii and Delaware.  For Romney, I'll say Oklahoma, Utah, Idaho, and Wyoming.

So there's going to be a greater than 10 point swing in Blaine and Teton counties?