NH-PPP: Obama up by 12

[Landslide Lyndon]

I'm skeptical that Obama's leading by that much or by any at all.

Most polls I've seen have had Romney leading(albeit narrowly) or have been a complete tossup.

^^^ this. Color me skeptical.

I think Obama is well ahead of Mittens but double digits seems way too optimistic.

[The Mikado]

Yeah, this is too much.  Obama's not up by 12 in NH.

[Torie]

The biggest problem with calling it a 1/64 chance is that you're treating these states' voting as independent events when they are clearly related to each other. A candidate is more likely to carry one swing state if he's already carrying others. There is a good chance one candidate, whether it is Obama or Romney, wins all of those states. That is one of the most likely outcomes.

By George, you've got it! 

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Yeah, this is too much.  Obama's not up by 12 in NH.

This.

Ultimately, he'll probably win the state, but not by 12. No way.

[Eraserhead]

I like how everyone (on both sides) speaks in such certain terms about how everything will happen, LOL. We have a long way to go here, maybe this board should be shut down for a few months.