VT-Castleton Polling Institute: Obama beats Romney by more than 2:1

[Tender Branson]

QUESTION: If the 2012 presidential election were held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, would you vote for Barack Obama or Mitt Romney? 

59-28 Obama

...

This survey was conducted for WCAX, WDEV and Vermont Business Magazine by the Castleton Polling Institute at Castleton College. A total of 607 registered voters were interviewed statewide by telephone between May 7th to May 16th. 

Those interviewed were selected from a random sample of registered voters in Vermont

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points.

http://www.wcax.com/story/18579959/poll-shumlin-would-win-gubernatorial-race

[Tender Branson]

All these recent state polls point to a slightly smaller national Obama margin than 2008.

Something like a 2-5% Obama lead.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=5020120518184

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

All these recent state polls point to a slightly smaller national Obama margin than 2008.

Something like a 2-5% Obama lead.

Trying to figure out the national numbers from random polls in Vermont seems pretty useless.

[pbrower2a]

All these recent state polls point to a slightly smaller national Obama margin than 2008.

Something like a 2-5% Obama lead.

Trying to figure out the national numbers from random polls in Vermont seems pretty useless.

Here's how I see the states going:

OBAMA LOSS      STATE OR DISTRICT  OBAMA WIN

0                       District of Columbia             3
3                       Vermont                              6


...enough said here.