PA-Rasmussen: Obama+6
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Author Topic: PA-Rasmussen: Obama+6  (Read 3120 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: May 23, 2012, 08:15:12 AM »

Pennsylvania: Obama 47%, Romney 41%

...

This Pennsylvania survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted May 21, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/pennsylvania/election_2012_pennsylvania_president
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #1 on: May 23, 2012, 11:19:52 AM »

But I thought the PPP poll showing him up 8 was trash by a partisan biased pollster???
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DrScholl
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« Reply #2 on: May 23, 2012, 11:57:29 AM »

This is yet another poll that shows that Pennsylvania is lean Democratic.
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Queen Mum Inks.LWC
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« Reply #3 on: May 23, 2012, 10:31:30 PM »

Database entry: https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/PRESIDENT/2012/polls.php?action=indpoll&id=4220120521016
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #4 on: May 23, 2012, 10:43:18 PM »

Not bad.  Applying the MilesC56 Rule gives Obama a bigger advantage with this, too.
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Miles
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« Reply #5 on: May 23, 2012, 10:49:51 PM »

Not bad.  Applying the MilesC56 Rule gives Obama a bigger advantage with this, too.

Good one Smiley

This particular poll is actually remarkably similar to PPP's.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #6 on: May 23, 2012, 10:52:16 PM »

It won't stop the GOP throwing millions at this...
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The world will shine with light in our nightmare
Just Passion Through
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« Reply #7 on: May 23, 2012, 11:04:59 PM »

Not bad.  Applying the MilesC56 Rule gives Obama a bigger advantage with this, too.

Good one Smiley

This particular poll is actually remarkably similar to PPP's.


True!

It won't stop the GOP throwing millions at this...

By all means, I hope they do.  Barring a landslide, PA will likely end up going Democrat as it has for years.  Competing for it is just a waste of resources.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #8 on: May 25, 2012, 11:25:54 PM »

Why is competing for D+2 PA a waste of resources, but not R+2 Florida, let alone states with higher R CPVIs?
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President von Cat
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« Reply #9 on: May 26, 2012, 12:12:31 AM »

Why is competing for D+2 PA a waste of resources, but not R+2 Florida, let alone states with higher R CPVIs?

Because Florida has voted for both parties at the national level since 1992, and Pennsylvania hasn't.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #10 on: May 26, 2012, 12:27:37 AM »

Why is competing for D+2 PA a waste of resources, but not R+2 Florida, let alone states with higher R CPVIs?

Because Florida has voted for both parties at the national level since 1992, and Pennsylvania hasn't.

Terrible argument.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #11 on: May 27, 2012, 01:30:57 AM »

I loved how McCain spent the entire month of October in Pennsylvania. Sure, he probably reduced Obama's overall margin in the state, but it was hilarious to see Obama picking off Indiana, North Carolina, etc., while his opponent stayed in a Kerry state the whole time.
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #12 on: May 27, 2012, 01:43:08 AM »

I loved how McCain spent the entire month of October in Pennsylvania. Sure, he probably reduced Obama's overall margin in the state, but it was hilarious to see Obama picking off Indiana, North Carolina, etc., while his opponent stayed in a Kerry state the whole time.

The scenarios where McCain won would have mostly involved the polls being dreadfully wrong, probably due to the Bradley effect. If that was the case, PA would probably be the state that put McCain over the top.
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MaxQue
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« Reply #13 on: May 27, 2012, 02:17:15 AM »

I loved how McCain spent the entire month of October in Pennsylvania. Sure, he probably reduced Obama's overall margin in the state, but it was hilarious to see Obama picking off Indiana, North Carolina, etc., while his opponent stayed in a Kerry state the whole time.

The scenarios where McCain won would have mostly involved the polls being dreadfully wrong, probably due to the Bradley effect. If that was the case, PA would probably be the state that put McCain over the top.

Wouldn't that be Ohio?
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #14 on: May 27, 2012, 02:23:21 AM »

I loved how McCain spent the entire month of October in Pennsylvania. Sure, he probably reduced Obama's overall margin in the state, but it was hilarious to see Obama picking off Indiana, North Carolina, etc., while his opponent stayed in a Kerry state the whole time.

The scenarios where McCain won would have mostly involved the polls being dreadfully wrong, probably due to the Bradley effect. If that was the case, PA would probably be the state that put McCain over the top.

Wouldn't that be Ohio?

Ohio would have well and truly have voted for McCain already.
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