PA-Rasmussen: Obama+6 (user search)
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  PA-Rasmussen: Obama+6 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-Rasmussen: Obama+6  (Read 3155 times)
Nichlemn
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« on: May 25, 2012, 11:25:54 PM »

Why is competing for D+2 PA a waste of resources, but not R+2 Florida, let alone states with higher R CPVIs?
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Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920


« Reply #1 on: May 26, 2012, 12:27:37 AM »

Why is competing for D+2 PA a waste of resources, but not R+2 Florida, let alone states with higher R CPVIs?

Because Florida has voted for both parties at the national level since 1992, and Pennsylvania hasn't.

Terrible argument.
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Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920


« Reply #2 on: May 27, 2012, 01:43:08 AM »

I loved how McCain spent the entire month of October in Pennsylvania. Sure, he probably reduced Obama's overall margin in the state, but it was hilarious to see Obama picking off Indiana, North Carolina, etc., while his opponent stayed in a Kerry state the whole time.

The scenarios where McCain won would have mostly involved the polls being dreadfully wrong, probably due to the Bradley effect. If that was the case, PA would probably be the state that put McCain over the top.
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Nichlemn
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Posts: 1,920


« Reply #3 on: May 27, 2012, 02:23:21 AM »

I loved how McCain spent the entire month of October in Pennsylvania. Sure, he probably reduced Obama's overall margin in the state, but it was hilarious to see Obama picking off Indiana, North Carolina, etc., while his opponent stayed in a Kerry state the whole time.

The scenarios where McCain won would have mostly involved the polls being dreadfully wrong, probably due to the Bradley effect. If that was the case, PA would probably be the state that put McCain over the top.

Wouldn't that be Ohio?

Ohio would have well and truly have voted for McCain already.
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