IN-Rasmussen: Mourdock, Donnelly tied

[Miles]

Full Report.

Mourdock (R)- 42%
Donnelly (D)- 42%

I'd say this is decidedly good news for Team D, considering the source.

[Tender Branson]

Because of Indiana's no-computer-polling law:

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[morgieb]

Very nice.

[tmthforu94]

Well, according to the Indiana political expert of the forum, Mourdock has this easily in the bag, so Democrats shouldn't get their hopes up.

...

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

16% undecided, though?

[morgieb]

16% undecided, though?

Not that surprising IMO - neither of them are that well known iirc.

[Miles]

16% undecided, though?

Not that surprising IMO - neither of them are that well known iirc.

In the only other poll I've seen, Donnelly has 40% name recognition and Mourdock has 73%.

Voters who know Donnelly view him favorably though; he's at +16 compared to Mourdock's -1.

[Keystone Phil]

Well, according to the Indiana political expert of the forum, Mourdock has this easily in the bag, so Democrats shouldn't get their hopes up.

...

1) Enlighten us as to who said this was "in the bag." And when you inevitably say it was me, you better produce the quotes that show me saying it won't even be a contest.

2) Try reading the part of this thread that points out how the poll was done online. Thanks for playing.

[ZuWo]

I'm not an expert in this race but I suppose that once the influence of the rather divisive Republican primary has worn off, Mourdock's numbers will go up. Republican Lugar supporters who now threaten to support Donnelly are probably going to cast their vote for Mourdock at the end of the day. Indeed, a similar development can be observed in the Republican presidential primary.

[TJ in Oregon]

I'm not an expert in this race but I suppose that once the influence of the rather divisive Republican primary has worn off, Mourdock's numbers will go up. Republican Lugar supporters who now threaten to support Donnelly are probably going to cast their vote for Mourdock at the end of the day. Indeed, a similar development can be observed in the Republican presidential primary.

The main difference is that in the presidential election, most of those dissappointed Republican primary voters can't stand President Obama and only need to wait for Obama to say something that makes them mad before they will support Mitt Romney. Joe Donnelly is not President Obama. He is much, much more palatable to Republicans. Few Republican voters are going to get all wound up to go out and vote against Joe Donnelly.

[JohnnyLongtorso]

lol Zogby Scotty

[tmthforu94]

Well, according to the Indiana political expert of the forum, Mourdock has this easily in the bag, so Democrats shouldn't get their hopes up.

...

1) Enlighten us as to who said this was "in the bag." And when you inevitably say it was me, you better produce the quotes that show me saying it won't even be a contest.

2) Try reading the part of this thread that points out how the poll was done online. Thanks for playing.

1)

Come November, this won't be one of the top competitive races.

Oh, and did we mention that this is a Dem internal? Mourdock is clearly leading.

2) Every poll that has been released on this Senate race has it tied. All polling done here indicates a very tight race on election day, which wouldn't have been the case if Lugar had won the primary. Wasted expenses that could have gone on trying to pick up Ohio, Missouri, and other swing states.

[Fuzzybigfoot]

Mourdock should pull away with this, as long as he doesn't do anything stupid. 

[Keystone Phil]

Well, according to the Indiana political expert of the forum, Mourdock has this easily in the bag, so Democrats shouldn't get their hopes up.

...

1) Enlighten us as to who said this was "in the bag." And when you inevitably say it was me, you better produce the quotes that show me saying it won't even be a contest.

2) Try reading the part of this thread that points out how the poll was done online. Thanks for playing.

1)

Come November, this won't be one of the top competitive races.

Oh, and did we mention that this is a Dem internal? Mourdock is clearly leading.

2) Every poll that has been released on this Senate race has it tied. All polling done here indicates a very tight race on election day, which wouldn't have been the case if Lugar had won the primary. Wasted expenses that could have gone on trying to pick up Ohio, Missouri, and other swing states.

I said it wouldn't be competitive come November. That doesn't make it a slam dunk now. Candidates can pull away with a lead, tm. That's what will happen here.

And your follow up comment was especially asinine. "Polling now shows it won't be competitive on election day." Uh...wow. That's incredible spin. Polling shows the state of the race now, dude.

[Svensson]

Guys, I really do hate to be undiplomatic, but the two of you have sung this song on about eight different threads already. So...

http://www.youtube.com/embed/lVnWOUR7NQE

[tmthforu94]

You were obviously implying Mourdock would handily win, which is like saying he has it in the bag. And its true - current polling suggests that the race will be a tossup on Election Day. Just like you're boldly predicting Mourdock will pull away, as someone who's actually on the ground, I tend to disagree and think it'll remain close.

I guess we'll just have to see - I strongly feel, though, that the argument can be made Republicans wouldn't be worried one bit about this race had Lugar won. He's just a better GE candidate.

[Keystone Phil]

...

Current polling shows where the race stands...currently. I'm done arguing with children.

[tmthforu94]

...

Current polling shows where the race stands...currently. I'm done arguing with children.

Ok.

Try and be a little more respectful of others in future debates. While I know you don't like that/me and don't think the rest of us are deserving of it, it is greatly appreciated and makes the entire forum experience more enjoyable. Please consider it, otherwise, please put me on ignore. Thanks.

[Napoleon]

Well, according to the Indiana political expert of the forum, Mourdock has this easily in the bag, so Democrats shouldn't get their hopes up.

...

So was this post an intentional baiting of Phil or was there some other expert?? Because most of us, well, we don't understand what is going on here.

I expect a Mourdock victory.

[Keystone Phil]

...

Current polling shows where the race stands...currently. I'm done arguing with children.

Ok.

Try and be a little more respectful of others in future debates. While I know you don't like that/me and don't think the rest of us are deserving of it, it is greatly appreciated and makes the entire forum experience more enjoyable. Please consider it, otherwise, please put me on ignore. Thanks.

As Napoleon alluded to, don't troll in the future and then get on your high horse about respect (like uour boy Lugar did during the primary. You should know now that it doesn't work out in the end). Thanks.

[Oldiesfreak1854]

I don't think Rasmussen is in the tank for Republicans.  It's too bad Lugar didn't hold on in the primary, he would've been reelected easily, and even if he was a "RINO", he still would have been better than any Democrat in the race.