Romney up in IN

[Ben Romney]

Indiana: Romney 48%, Obama 42%

Mitt Romney holds a six-point lead over President Obama in a head-to-head matchup in Indiana. A new Rasmussen Reports online survey of Likely Voters in the state finds Romney earning 48% of the vote to Obama’s 42%. Five percent (5%) prefers some other candidate, and another five percent (5%) are undecided.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/indiana/election_2012_indiana_president

[CultureKing]

That's it? I feel like Mitt should be much farther ahead in Indiana. Though honestly neither candidate will likely play well in the state (what could heavily depressed turnout due to the end result?)

[Devils30]

Adjusting for the rasmussen effect means all is not lost in Indiana after all. Still, Romney is easily the favorite.

[You kip if you want to...]

Much closer than it should be really.

[pbrower2a]

More significantly, the Senate race is a toss-up. If President Obama loses the state by 5% yet the Democrat wins the Senate seat that has belonged for six terms to a moderate (by contemporary standards) Republican, then consider that a huge victory for President Obama.  I don't see President Obama campaigning in Indiana unless it is on behalf of Representative Donnelly.

...Indiana can no longer be considered "Solid R". Indiana is an R disaster if the Democrat wins the Senate seat.

[Small Business Owner of Any Repute]

Who let Pbrower out of his cage? Bad! Bad!

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

More significantly, the Senate race is a toss-up. If President Obama loses the state by 5% yet the Democrat wins the Senate seat that has belonged for six terms to a moderate (by contemporary standards) Republican, then consider that a huge victory for President Obama.  I don't see President Obama campaigning in Indiana unless it is on behalf of Representative Donnelly.

...Indiana can no longer be considered "Solid R". Indiana is an R disaster if the Democrat wins the Senate seat.

Donnelly probably doesn't even want Obama to campaign for him.

[Minnesota Mike]

Internet only poll.

First time I have seen Rassmusan use an internet poll, you have to wonder about it's accuracy.

BTW I think the Internet is the future of polling, I'm just not sure anyone has perfected how to do it yet.

[MaxQue]

Automated phone polling is outlawed in Indiana, so, they have to use different methods.

And Internet polling worked well in French election and gave the best results in the last two provincial elections in Quebec (but thrown out by media as outliers. Finally, they were right and the others were wrong).

[Eraserhead]

I never understood why everyone was writing this off as a complete lock for Romney. Never made any sense.

That said, who knows how much this particular poll is worth.

[TheDeadFlagBlues]

Even though the numbers don't suggest that Indiana or Arizona will be decisive states doesn't meant that Obama has no incentive to invest there; the Senate will be the real battleground this year.