Politico
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Posts: 4,862
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« on: August 09, 2012, 09:11:52 PM » |
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« edited: August 09, 2012, 09:36:59 PM by Politico »
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My take: The ticket needs a safe choice with humble Midwestern roots in order to help penetrate Ohio, Michigan, Wisconsin, Iowa and perhaps Minnesota. That leaves five candidates: Portman, Daniels, Ryan, Thune and Pawlenty.
Portman and Daniels are too closely associated with the Bush Administration. Either one is a HUGE mistake, if you ask me and many others. Besides, Portman does not have the humblest of Midwestern roots (his father was very well-off by the time Portman was a teenager, much like the case of Romney).
Even though I think Ryan would be the best VP of the bunch, he is too young and youthful-looking. Most importantly, he is too likely to scare too many seniors due to the Medicare imbroglio and his youthful appearance.
My conclusion: It's Thune or Pawlenty. Since Thune's name is no longer being thrown around much, which is also what happened with Biden and Palin (who reportedly beat out Pawlenty), I say it's Thune. Also, it's funny how no other individual in the poll beats Thune. I am guessing a similar poll in the Romney campaign is producing the same result, although obviously the final choice is Romney's to make. For what it's worth, Thune is a conservative, but not an ideologue, which is in line with Romney's personality.
Addendum: Let's not forget that Pawlenty coined "Obamneycare," has a gubernatorial record that can be directly compared with Romney's (not necessarily a good thing), and has no foreign policy experience. Thune has none of these downsides. In fact, I cannot think of a single downside to Thune other than his home state already being a lock (which he makes up for with his humble, Midwestern roots, which will play well and be a valuable asset in states like Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan, etc.). With that said, no running mate has truly "delivered" their home state since LBJ, so that effect is overrated IMHO.
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