New Study on Election Trends (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 28, 2024, 10:12:48 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: 100% pro-life no matter what)
  New Study on Election Trends (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: New Study on Election Trends  (Read 5945 times)
greenforest32
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,625


Political Matrix
E: -7.94, S: -8.43

« on: May 28, 2012, 08:57:35 PM »
« edited: May 28, 2012, 10:08:09 PM by greenforest32 »

I decided to do North and South Dakota together because they're so similar.

North Dakota/South Dakota
______________________
1988: R+2.53/D+0.76
1992: R+10.57/R+5.85
1996: R+9.9/R+7.03
2000: R+14.79/R+13.67
2004: R+12.11/R+9.26
2008: R+7.69/R+7.81

Except in 2008, South Dakota was generally more moderate, but these two states are similar.  Does anyone know if the Clinton campaign targeted South Dakota in 1992 given that Dukakis actually did BETTER than his national average?  Like Nebraska, these states are farm states and less affected by the swings in the economy that caused the two Clinton wins.

I wonder if the oil boom in North Dakota* will cause it to diverge from South Dakota.

*340% increase in production from 2007-2011 and recently passed Alaska to become the 2nd largest oil producing state:

http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_crd_crpdn_adc_mbbl_a.htm
http://www.adn.com/2012/05/15/2465480/n-dakota-passes-alaska-to-become.html
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.016 seconds with 12 queries.