2012 PRIMARY.. Utah to go!

[timothyinMD]

Okay political junkies there's still one more to go, and save the best for last..

Utah was a harbinger of the 2008 climate.  McCain plunged 9% from Bush's performance there and overall turnout was lower, reflecting Republican lack of enthusiasm in the '08 election.  Maybe we can gleam some insight from this Utah primary to gauge how well Mitt has his base of all base (Utah Mormons) energized.

Will Mitt beat his '08 performance (89.49%) in Utah this year?
Will turnout (296,061 in '08) be higher or lower?

Just my guess..
93.3 Romney
4.3 Paul
1.2 Santorum
0.9 Gingrich
0.3 Karger

[Zioneer]

I think he might get close to hitting 95%, with most of the rest going to Paulites. Among Republicans that aren't Paulites, Romney is beloved in Utah. Which is annoying for Utah liberals like me, because we actually have good statewide Democratic candidates this time, and the Romney wave will be damaging to the left in Utah.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

92% for Romney, 5% for Paul

[Grumpier Than Thou]

Romney 93%
Paul 4%

[Joe Republic]

Okay political junkies there's still one more to go, and save the best for last..

Utah was a harbinger of the 2008 climate.  McCain plunged 9% from Bush's performance there and overall turnout was lower, reflecting Republican lack of enthusiasm in the '08 election.  Maybe we can gleam some insight from this Utah primary to gauge how well Mitt has his base of all base (Utah Mormons) energized.

Will Mitt beat his '08 performance (89.49%) in Utah this year?
Will turnout (296,061 in '08) be higher or lower?

You can't really take much from this one, whatever the result.  UT '08 was still at the point where the nomination was up for grabs.  That alone makes UT '12 incomparable.

[tmthforu94]

Well, I've seen a couple Paul signs here, and none for Romney. But the SLC paper is very pro-Romney. Non-Mormons here aren't too crazy about a Mormon as President due to ego's. I wouldn't be shocked if Paul hit 10%.

[Snowstalker Mk. II]

I'm confused; I thought you were in Indiana. Did you move?

[tmthforu94]

I'm confused; I thought you were in Indiana. Did you move?

I'm here for the summer. Been here a month, so I've become somewhat familiar with the politics here.

[Tender Branson]

I predict:

93.32% Romney