MA-Western New England University: Warren by 2
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Author Topic: MA-Western New England University: Warren by 2  (Read 582 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« on: June 03, 2012, 01:21:48 AM »

45-43 Warren

http://www.masslive.com/politics/index.ssf/2012/06/sen_scott_brown_elizabeth_warr_1.html
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Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #1 on: June 03, 2012, 11:49:30 AM »

It's all just statistical noise at this point. They're essentially tied.

Brown is running a better campaign with less mini-controversies, so my guess is the Romney coattails and the blue collar Democrats push him to a 1-2 point victory.
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Just Passion Through
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« Reply #2 on: June 03, 2012, 11:52:01 AM »

Uni poll, so.
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Nathan
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« Reply #3 on: June 03, 2012, 12:01:27 PM »

It's all just statistical noise at this point. They're essentially tied.

Brown is running a better campaign with less mini-controversies, so my guess is the Romney coattails and the blue collar Democrats push him to a 1-2 point victory.

The idea that there are 'Romney coattails' in Massachusetts is wishful thinking.
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Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas
Ray Goldfield
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« Reply #4 on: June 03, 2012, 02:33:25 PM »

It's all just statistical noise at this point. They're essentially tied.

Brown is running a better campaign with less mini-controversies, so my guess is the Romney coattails and the blue collar Democrats push him to a 1-2 point victory.

The idea that there are 'Romney coattails' in Massachusetts is wishful thinking.

He'll lose Massachusetts by 15. Any other Republican would likely lose it by 20-25. That's a boost that will help down-ballot races a bit.
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nkpatel1279
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« Reply #5 on: June 03, 2012, 04:33:49 PM »

The 2012 MA US Senate Race is going to be decided by a narrow margin. The loser of that race is going to be future candidate for MA statewide office in 2014.
Scott Brown-R will be seeking the Republican nomination for 2014 MA Governors Race- he will be facing Coakley-D in the general election.
Elizabeth Warren-D will either run for the Kerry Seat-assuming Kerry retires or gets selected as Secretary of State during Obama's second term or run for MA State Attorney General or Governor.
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Nathan
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« Reply #6 on: June 03, 2012, 05:25:03 PM »
« Edited: June 04, 2012, 01:55:19 PM by Nathan »

It's all just statistical noise at this point. They're essentially tied.

Brown is running a better campaign with less mini-controversies, so my guess is the Romney coattails and the blue collar Democrats push him to a 1-2 point victory.

The idea that there are 'Romney coattails' in Massachusetts is wishful thinking.

He'll lose Massachusetts by 15. Any other Republican would likely lose it by 20-25. That's a boost that will help down-ballot races a bit.

Romney won't have coattails for somebody who's significantly more popular than he is.
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benconstine
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« Reply #7 on: June 03, 2012, 05:46:58 PM »


What coattails exist when a candidate gets 38-40%?
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