French Legislative Elections 2012: Official Results Thread
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  French Legislative Elections 2012: Official Results Thread
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Author Topic: French Legislative Elections 2012: Official Results Thread  (Read 25017 times)
Niemeyerite
JulioMadrid
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« Reply #50 on: June 10, 2012, 01:31:38 PM »

Creuse 1re

PS 44.4
UMP 33.8
FN 7.7
FG 7.5
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #51 on: June 10, 2012, 01:32:36 PM »

Any other sites with results other than the interior ministry?
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #52 on: June 10, 2012, 01:34:46 PM »

Any other sites with results other than the interior ministry?

http://www.google.com/elections/ed/fr/results

And Lozere results are bad news for PS, aren't they?
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big bad fab
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« Reply #53 on: June 10, 2012, 01:36:12 PM »

PS dissident ahead of EE-LV in Côtes d'Armor 4th. YES !

As for national results, unfortunately, I'm afraid I'll be right Tongue
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Andrea
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« Reply #54 on: June 10, 2012, 01:36:44 PM »

Frédéric Cuvillier apparently re-elected with 50.66% in Pas de Calais.
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Andrea
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« Reply #55 on: June 10, 2012, 01:40:12 PM »

Alpes Haute Provence I
PS 33.04% UMP 23.68% FN 16.57 (eliminated) FG 9.83

Alpes Haute Provence II
PS 35.76% UMP 29.77% FN 15.25 (eliminated) FG 9.37

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minionofmidas
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« Reply #56 on: June 10, 2012, 01:41:08 PM »

Basses-Alpes

1st: PS 33.1, UMP 23.7, FN 16.7 (out)
2nd: PS 35.8, UMP 29.8, FN 15.5 (out)

Ninja'd. Sad I can add that the 2nd is listed only as "favored" in Hash's map.
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Beet
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« Reply #57 on: June 10, 2012, 01:48:24 PM »

What does it mean "ninja'd"?

So basically, 12.5 gets FN to the second round, or is it higher than that?
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #58 on: June 10, 2012, 01:50:02 PM »

Just spotted that Le Monde has a map with twitter things for each constituency. If anyone wants to go through mountains of rumours and so on.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #59 on: June 10, 2012, 01:50:55 PM »

What does it mean "ninja'd"?

So basically, 12.5 gets FN to the second round, or is it higher than that?
12.5% of registered voters gets a third (or lower) placed candidate to the runoff. With ~57% turnout, expect few triangulaires.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #60 on: June 10, 2012, 01:51:48 PM »

Ariege is in, but that's boring. One Socialist elected in the first round, the other going into the runoff with a twenty point lead and FN and FG essentially tied for third.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #61 on: June 10, 2012, 01:55:39 PM »

And just to prove my point, Aube reports and has a triangulaire in the 1st constituency.

UMP leading everywhere though, and that FN candidate that forced himself into the 2nd round came 3rd (with 25%). Oh, and his name is "Subtil". Lol.

Two safe PS seats in Gers, one of them won in the first round.
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Andrea
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« Reply #62 on: June 10, 2012, 01:57:31 PM »

PS first round win in Gers I

Looking good for Stéphane Le Foll: around 15 points ahead of UMP
René Dosière is ahead in Aisne I: 29.11 vs 26.5 for Nouveau centre and 21,47 for PS official man.
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Andrea
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« Reply #63 on: June 10, 2012, 02:05:43 PM »

Vosges II

Jack Lang 37.5%
UMP 35.35%
FN 17.34% (eliminated)
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Filuwaúrdjan
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« Reply #64 on: June 10, 2012, 02:06:06 PM »

Mélenchon eliminated apparently. But then my French is less than entirely wonderful, so misreading possible.
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change08
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« Reply #65 on: June 10, 2012, 02:09:36 PM »

Mélenchon eliminated apparently. But then my French is less than entirely wonderful, so misreading possible.

He's "jette l'eponge" as Huffington Post puts it. Assuming that's the French way of saying he's thrown in the towel.
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Andrea
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« Reply #66 on: June 10, 2012, 02:13:34 PM »
« Edited: June 10, 2012, 02:20:56 PM by Andrea »

 Philippe Vigier (NCE) re-elected in Eure et Loir IV
FN eliminated in the other Eure-et-Loir constituencies. So the chances of a PS gain seems to go away with it.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #67 on: June 10, 2012, 02:16:54 PM »

Côtes-d’Armor
2007: 4 PS, 1 UMP
 
1st (Saint-Brieuc, PS^)Sad This seat, which takes in Saint-Brieuc and adjacent cantons (including the former PCF working-class base of Ploufragan) has been held by the PS’ Danielle Bousquet since 1997. Bousquet, who won reelection with 57.7% in 2007, is retiring this year. Her successor will be Michel Lesage, the PS mayor/general councillor of Langueux. The only non-Socialist who could have made this race less boring is Bruno Joncour, the MoDem mayor of Saint-Brieuc who has a strong personal vote (iirc, he won reelection in 2008 by defeating Bousquet, after a fairly flukeish win in 2001). He isn’t running, so the UMP’s candidate – some local councillor in Saint-Brieuc, will be crushed in typical fashion in the second-safest leftie seat in the 22. Hollande won 61.4% of the vote on May 6.
Hashpipe’s Super-Duper Predictions: safe left
Lesage 46.7, UMP 25.2. Prediction: Correct.

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42.4 - 27.2, so, yeah.
 
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Le Fur 46.6, Cauret 37.9. Le Fur should hold.
 
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Le Houérou. By oh so much. 32.0% vs 18.3% for UMP, 16.6% Commie, just 12.4% Green. This wasn't far off the right going out by round one (UMP under 12.5% of registered voters).
 
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46.2 to 26.0. So, yeah.
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change08
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« Reply #68 on: June 10, 2012, 02:18:11 PM »

Disgusting to hear that Marine's got 42% in Pas-de-Calais.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #69 on: June 10, 2012, 02:26:16 PM »

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La Magueresse 35.4, Le Ray 24.3, Grall 20.0, enough for a triangulaire. I suppose he'll withdraw though?
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #70 on: June 10, 2012, 02:35:10 PM »

Few more interesting results in Morbihan, actually.

FN is doing worse than expected all over. Only one triangulaire in Haut-Rhin - and one second place, but that in the constituency UMP wins on the first round.
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Andrea
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« Reply #71 on: June 10, 2012, 02:36:45 PM »

Morbihan

 
1st (Vannes/Golfe du Morbihan, UMP-RS)
UMP 32.63% DVG 26.34% PS 16.61% FN 8.5%

The Left can make it here

2nd (Port-Louis/Auray /Quiberon/Belle-Île, UMP)
PS 35.4% DVD 24,34% UMP (incumbent) 20.1% (qualified)

3rd (Pontivy, UMP^)
PS 40.86 UMP 37.72 FN 10.68

4th (Ploërmel/Guer, UMP^)
Molac DVG 26.04 UMP 25.78 Fichet DVG 12.8 Bléher 14,73

5th (Lorient, PS
PS 43.75 UMP 25.83


6th (Hennebont/Plouay, UMP)
UMP 36.27 PS 25.43 DVG 13.6 FG 8.98 FN 8.08
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Andrea
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« Reply #72 on: June 10, 2012, 02:37:20 PM »

Eure 5 is a UMP vs FN run off.

Gard II
FN 34.5% PS 32.8% UMP 23.9%
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #73 on: June 10, 2012, 02:38:58 PM »

Corsica.

Sud 1 Marcangeli (UMP) 30.8, Renucci (DVG) 29.4
Sud 2 Rocca Serra (UMP) 33.0, Angelini (rég) 21.2
Haute 1 Gandolfi (UMP) 31.2, Simeoni (rég) 24.7, Zuccarelli (RDG) 23.6. Triangulaire.
Haute 2 Giacobbi (RDG) 43.6, Grimaldi (UMP) 24.8

Now to go compare that with expectations.
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Andrea
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« Reply #74 on: June 10, 2012, 03:04:20 PM »

Royal 32.03
Falorni(PS dissident) 28.91
UMP 19.47% (eliminated)

Falorni doesn't seem to want to withdraw
...

PS 34.9
Bayrou 23.63
UMP 21.72 (qualified)
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