VA: Rasmussen: Candidates dead even

[Miles]

New Poll: Virginia President by Rasmussen on 2012-6-4

Summary: D: 47%, R: 47%, I: 3%, U: 3%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[tpfkaw]

"While Obama draws support from 95% of Virginia Democratic voters, Romney is backed by just 81% of voters in his own party."

Standard crosstab caveat, but that surprises me somewhat.  I'd expect Romney would be a good fit for VA Republicans (socially conservative, economically moderate, hawkish).

[Wisconsin+17]

When can we expect Romney to give up on VA?

[Umengus]

http://argojournal.blogspot.com/2012/06/poll-watch-rasmussen-r-virginia-2012.html

"While Obama draws support from 95% of Virginia Democratic voters, Romney is backed by just 81% of voters in his own party.". Romney has room to grow w/ GOP in this poll, Obama doesn't with his party.

Among Unaffiliated voters:
Romney: 53%
Obama: 35%

I'm sceptic... but i agree on the tie. RAS state polls are in line with his national track poll.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

When can we expect Romney to give up on VA?

Probably when it innevitably becomes a Romney lock.

[Miles]

The Ras Senate poll will probably have Kaine down by 3 or 4.

[DrScholl]

A tie is the best Rasmussen can show for Romney in formerly solid Republican Virginia? You'd think they'd be able to find him up double digits or something, but I guess that wasn't in the cards.

[Incipimus iterum]

who know in my view Obama needs to do well in northern Va and Romney if he needs to win do good in Northern Va

[Bandit3 the Worker]

And this poll was conducted just yesterday. If this is the best Rasmussen can do in Virginia yesterday, then it looks like the jobs report backfired on the GOP - badly.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Seriously, where do you come up with this stuff? The jobs report backfired on Republicans?

If the jobs report worked like they intended, Romney would be winning this poll by at least a few points.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

So just to be clear, the fact that Romney is TIED w/ Obama in a state Obama won by 6 points 4 yrs ago means last Friday's AWFUL jobs report must have backfired onto the Republicans? Yeah, okay

Rasmussen is a Republican pollster. I would have expected Romney to be winning this poll by maybe 3 or 4 points.

[tpfkaw]

Let me guess; the Bureau of Labor Statistics is controlled by Republicans - but the silent majority can see through their lies!

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Not sure why you would expect that. Rasmussen's never had Romney up in Virginia by more than 1 point. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/va/virginia_romney_vs_obama-1774.html#polls

Aren't these the self-anointed geniuses who had Romney winning nationwide by 7?

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Again, where is this coming from? Who annointed Rasmussen as "geniuses?" And no, they don't have Romney leading by 7.

One of the hack pollsters did.

[MODU]

Again, where is this coming from? Who annointed Rasmussen as "geniuses?" And no, they don't have Romney leading by 7.

One of the hack pollsters did.

So ... you're just ranting on something you aren't sure about just for the purpose of ranting? 

[Yank2133]

A tie is the best Rasmussen can show for Romney in formerly solid Republican Virginia? You'd think they'd be able to find him up double digits or something, but I guess that wasn't in the cards.

The problem for Mitt is the economy isn't bad in VA, so Mitt's biggest strength is some what negated. If UE was 7% here instead of 5.9%, he would be running away with the state.

[tmthforu94]

I think this will be a good opportunity for Romney in 2012 - should flip in a close election. I could see a Romney/Kaine final result here.

[Eraserhead]

When can we expect Romney to give up on VA?

When he gives up on winning the election entirely because there aren't many serious paths for him without it.

[pbrower2a]

"While Obama draws support from 95% of Virginia Democratic voters, Romney is backed by just 81% of voters in his own party."

Standard crosstab caveat, but that surprises me somewhat.  I'd expect Romney would be a good fit for VA Republicans (socially conservative, economically moderate, hawkish).

Republicans, one must recognize, have become so homogeneous in their political views that it is easy to establish an agenda that fits nearly all. When they have a choice they will not select a philanderer, a drunk, or a crook -- but they will choose any of the three over any liberal in the general election. 

[pbrower2a]

When can we expect Romney to give up on VA?

When the Governor says that it is over. Election night.

[All Along The Watchtower]

"While Obama draws support from 95% of Virginia Democratic voters, Romney is backed by just 81% of voters in his own party."

Standard crosstab caveat, but that surprises me somewhat.  I'd expect Romney would be a good fit for VA Republicans (socially conservative, economically moderate, hawkish).

A lot of VA Republicans are rural religious right types.

[pbrower2a]

Q releases a poll on the Presidential race in Virginia at 6:30 AM on June 7. That should be interesting.

[LastVoter]

Considering the PPP & Ras biases, Obama is ahead by about 4 3  points at this point.
edit: for consistency with the other thread.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

The Republicans' delusionalness is going to be their final undoing. I truly believe that.

They have complete arrogance of power. But they don't believe me, so I have no problems saying so in public.

[President von Cat]

And this poll was conducted just yesterday. If this is the best Rasmussen can do in Virginia yesterday, then it looks like the jobs report backfired on the GOP - badly.

Can you please explain what you mean by this? Do you mean that the GOP dancing on Obama's grave with the jobs report backfired? Or are you implying that the Republicans are somehow manipulating jobs data..?