Wisconsin Recall: Swing Map

[TJ in Oregon]

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Maybe the "Finnish vote" (a silly comment made by Barone), is turning back to the Dems, in which event maybe Craavack is in real trouble. More to the point, it probably is pretty heavily unionized up there (dock workers and the like up there in Superior).

Duffy's going to have problems but he's one of the early sets Dems would take back - far from that 218th seat we're not going to get this fall.

If I'm Duffy, I like the look of this swing map. Sure the Lake Superior coast shore swung toward the Democrats but the rest of his district more than cancels that out. There just aren't that many people in Superior.

[TJ in Oregon]

Counties in WI-7 that trended toward Walker: Burnett, Polk, Washburn, Barron, Rusk, Chippewa (part of county), Ashland, Iron, Price, Taylor, Clark, Jackson (part), Monroe (part), Wood (part), Marathon, Lincoln, Langlade, Oneida, Forest

Counties in WI-7 that trended away from Walker: Douglas, Bayfield, Sawyer, St. Croix, Juneau (part), Vilas, Florence

I haven't crunched the numbers but it doesn't look like it would be particularly close.