Quinnipiac polls for VA & CT show close races

[Tender Branson]

44-43 Kaine/Allen

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/virginia/release-detail?ReleaseID=1759

46-43 Murphy/McMahon

Former wrestling executive Linda McMahon leads former U.S. Rep. Christopher Shays 59 - 30 percent in the Republican primary for Connecticut's U.S. Senate seat, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This compares to a 51 - 42 percent McMahon lead March 22.

In the Democratic Senate primary, U.S. Rep. Christopher Murphy leads former Secretary of State Susan Bysiewicz 50 - 20 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds. This compares to a 37 - 25 percent Murphy lead March 22.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/connecticut/release-detail?ReleaseID=1758

[tmthforu94]

I'm surprised McMahon is this competitive - I still suspect the result will be around what 2010 was.

[RogueBeaver]

CT will be 2010 margin or slightly higher IMO. As for VA, completely synchronized with the presidential.

[Napoleon]

Murphy will get at least 56%.

[Miles]

Lieberman has a 50/39 approval rating...why's that so high?

[RogueBeaver]

Lieberman has a 50/39 approval rating...why's that so high?

He's retiring.

[Vosem]

McMahon making CT competitive would be an encouraging sign, but I'd wait for more polling to see if this is just an outlier or a legitimate trend. Quinnipiac has tended to give Republicans rather good results this year (last cycle, interestingly enough, Quinnipiac generally gave the Democrats good results). I don't much like McMahon, but shifting a seat from 'Likely D' to 'Tossup' is always good news...

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

Quinnipiac showed a competitive Senate race here around this time in 2010, I believe.  I think Murphy will prevail.

[RogueBeaver]

In 2010 Q had her down by only 3 at one point in late September, but shortly thereafter it defaulted to the usual double-digits. Murphy by 15 or thereabouts in November.

[morgieb]

Obvious outlier is obvious.

[bore]

Apparently almost all of the undecideds are dems and considering Mcmahon is already very well known it might just be that 43 is her ceiling and not because it is an outlier. Regardless the race is likely verging on safe dem.

[Holmes]

Don't get your hopes up about Connecticut. Fools' gold.