Rassy says MO leans Romney

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

R: 49 D: 42

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/missouri/election_2012_missouri_president

[krazen1211]

So, actually about Romney +3 or so.

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

So, actually about Romney +3 or so.

This is in line with the other polls (Romney by <5).

[Umengus]

+7 in MO is in line with a tie at national level.

[Miles]

So, actually about Romney +3 or so.

Excellent!

[timothyinMD]

will be a safe Romney state by Labor Day

[Umengus]

will be a safe Romney state by Labor Day

[pbrower2a]

will be a safe Romney state by Labor Day

No. No trend so states. If you are going from a PPP poll to a Rasmussen poll as evidence of a long-term trend then you are going on nothing. Democrats are doing a good job in Missouri, and nothing says that the state won't be close again in 2012, which bodes anomalously well for President Obama in Missouri. It is more R than the national average, but at this point I see no cause to believe that the 2012 election will have results significantly different from those of 2008.

If President Obama makes any significant gains in the sorts of voters who went for Clinton twice but rejected him in 2008, then Missouri flips (and in turn probably Georgia, South Carolina,  Tennessee, Kentucky, and West Virginia). But that is asking much.

If you thought that President Obama was horrible in 2008 and think that he still is in 2012 -- you were in the minority in 2008 and will be in 2012.  The same liberals who thought Ronald Reagan a joke in 1980 so thought again in 1984.

[Rowan]

will be a safe Romney state by Labor Day

No. No trend so states. If you are going from a PPP poll to a Rasmussen poll as evidence of a long-term trend then you are going on nothing. Democrats are doing a good job in Missouri, and nothing says that the state won't be close again in 2012, which bodes anomalously well for President Obama in Missouri. It is more R than the national average, but at this point I see no cause to believe that the 2012 election will have results significantly different from those of 2008.

If President Obama makes any significant gains in the sorts of voters who went for Clinton twice but rejected him in 2008, then Missouri flips (and in turn probably Georgia, South Carolina,  Tennessee, Kentucky, and West Virginia). But that is asking much.

If you thought that President Obama was horrible in 2008 and think that he still is in 2012 -- you were in the minority in 2008 and will be in 2012.  The same liberals who thought Ronald Reagan a joke in 1980 so thought again in 1984.

You are living in such an alternate reality it's not even funny.

[pbrower2a]

The Governor of Missouri and the Democratic Senator are both very popular. The coattails could help President Obama in Missouri.

Missouri is vulnerable to natural disasters -- and the President's swift and effective response to tornadoes in Joplin will be used in his favor in a State prone to every storm except hurricanes -- and even earthquakes.

In view of what happened in New Orleans in 2005 it is nice to have an adult in charge in the White House.  Missouri is on the fringe of competitiveness in a 50-50 split of the popular vote, but I can more easily see Missouri as an Obama pickup than any other.   

[Rowan]

The Governor of Missouri and the Democratic Senator are both very popular. The coattails could help President Obama in Missouri.

Claire McCaskill is very popular? Are you insane? Seriously? Get a clue.

[LastVoter]

Hey we found a Demhack!

[H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY]

Hey we found a Demhack!

What about Bandit?

[argentarius]

Hey we found a Demhack!

What about Bandit?

Bandit's a hack in the same way that Ben Kenobi is a hack.

[True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)]

Hey we found a Demhack!

What about Bandit?

Bandit is beyond Dem.

[MaxQue]

Hey we found a Demhack!

What about Bandit?

Bandit is beyond Dem.

He isn't Dem, he is Des (illusional).