The "guess how this hypothetical place would vote" thread

[TJ in Oregon]

It depends heavily on the history of the metropolitan area it's a suburb of. If it's an ancestrally German metro area like Cincinnati or Milwaukee, probably Republican. If it's more Eastern European or Irish like Cleveland or Chicago, more swingy or possibly Democratic. The income level looks a bit too high to me for it to be really Democratic. Then again, the religious affiliation level looks really low to be Republican unless there is some Evangelical component that is religious but doesn't show up in affiliation stats.

[TJ in Oregon]

I don't think so. 17% Catholic is way too high for the rural south even if it is 5% Latino. 80% affiliated with a religious congregation also is probably higher than you can actually find anywhere for a primarily Evangelical area because many Evangelical churches do not have a well-defined concept of affiliation or have many unaffiliated congregants. To have 80% you would need to be in a Catholic or Lutheran area where affiliation itself is a large part of the cultural identity.