make maps for the following scenarios:
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Author Topic: make maps for the following scenarios:  (Read 881 times)
WalterMitty
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« on: June 09, 2012, 07:46:50 PM »

1. obama wins nationally by 1 point
2. obama wins nationally by 4 points
3. obama wins nationally by 7 points,
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
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Palestinian Territory, Occupied


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E: -7.10, S: -4.35

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« Reply #1 on: June 09, 2012, 07:52:11 PM »

Without %'s:



Depending on the tone of the campaign, Obama takes either Ohio or Virginia and wins. New Hampshire's fiscal conservatism and anti-incumbent streak shows up, and Romney narrowly takes the state, while Iowa, Colorado, and Nevada all stick with the president.



Ohio, Virginia, and Florida all go for Obama.



Obama replicates his 2008 win, trading Indiana and NE-2 for razor-thin wins in Missouri and Arizona.
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Snowstalker Mk. II
Snowstalker
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Palestinian Territory, Occupied


Political Matrix
E: -7.10, S: -4.35

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« Reply #2 on: June 09, 2012, 08:02:02 PM »

For Romney victories of each size:



Romney picks off both Ohio and Virginia and wins. He also takes Nevada due to enormous Mormon turnout, suburban whites abandoning Obama, and a poor housing market.



Romney wins all the major battlegrounds, but his EV victory looks smaller than his PV victory due to Obama holding on in Pennsylvania. New Mexico's massive Democratic trend since 2004 shows itself, and Obama holds there as well.



Romney wins every state that could reasonably be considered competitive except Minnesota, and notably wins a West Coast state for the first time in 24 years. Notably, Romney makes a late ad dump in California, hoping he can land a blow by gobbling up a large amount of suburban white support, but Obama holds there by about 6 points due to minority turnout.
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Adam Griffin
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Greece


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« Reply #3 on: June 10, 2012, 02:38:45 AM »

1.


2.


3.
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opebo
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« Reply #4 on: June 10, 2012, 07:25:42 AM »
« Edited: June 10, 2012, 07:27:54 AM by opebo »

1. obama wins nationally by 1 point



2. obama wins nationally by 4 points



3. obama wins nationally by 7 points,

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You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
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United Kingdom
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« Reply #5 on: June 10, 2012, 07:48:18 AM »
« Edited: June 10, 2012, 07:53:24 AM by Le changement! C'est maintenant! »


Wins by 1%


Wins by 4%


Wins by 7%

A 10% lead would take down Indiana, Georgia, South Carolina, Montana and Nebraska 1st would be too close to call. Texas wouldn't be called for a good few hours.
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