Current "Swing States"
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Author Topic: Current "Swing States"  (Read 3734 times)
Oswald Acted Alone, You Kook
The Obamanation
Junior Chimp
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« on: January 11, 2012, 12:36:37 PM »
« edited: January 11, 2012, 12:51:10 PM by Ron Paul's Drag Race »
Which states are most likely going to be swing states in this cycle?

I know Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, and of course, Florida, but are there any others? Are Pennsylvannia, Michigan, and Wisconsin swing states?
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #1 on: January 11, 2012, 02:49:18 PM »
« Edited: January 11, 2012, 02:52:22 PM by MagneticFree »
Colorado, Florida, Virginia, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Iowa, Nevada, and Ohio
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2 on: January 11, 2012, 03:48:31 PM »


We just don't know what's going on in Indiana.
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opebo
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« Reply #3 on: January 11, 2012, 05:12:13 PM »


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MyRescueKittehRocks
JohanusCalvinusLibertas
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #4 on: January 12, 2012, 07:39:46 PM »
Quote from: Steve French on January 11, 2012, 03:48:31 PM


We just don't know what's going on in Indiana.

It's going back to the GOP heavily.
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GLPman
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« Reply #5 on: January 13, 2012, 01:41:20 AM »
Quote from: Steve French on January 11, 2012, 03:48:31 PM


We just don't know what's going on in Indiana.

This, minus Indiana.
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #6 on: June 07, 2012, 06:00:39 PM »
Quote from: Seven Wins, Two Loses, Two Ties, One Undecided on January 11, 2012, 12:36:37 PM
Which states are most likely going to be swing states in this cycle?

I know Nevada, Colorado, New Mexico, Iowa, Ohio, Virginia, and of course, Florida, but are there any others? Are Pennsylvannia, Michigan, and Wisconsin swing states?
Yes, Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin are all swing states.  They are all closely divided, even if it's been a while since any of them voted for a GOP presidential candidate.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #7 on: June 08, 2012, 10:49:54 AM »
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Oldiesfreak1854
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« Reply #8 on: June 09, 2012, 09:18:10 PM »
Here are my list of swing states, with a separate category for "semi-swing states" (states that are swing states to a lesser extent and have been competitive for a shorter amount of time)

Swing States:
Colorado
Florida
Iowa
Michigan
Missouri
Nevada
New Hampshire
New Mexico
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

Semi-Swing States:
Indiana
Maine
Minnesota
North Carolina
Oregon
Virginia
Washington
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Nichlemn
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« Reply #9 on: June 10, 2012, 12:10:00 AM »
Based on CPVI:

True tossups (D+1 to R+1)

Iowa
Nevada
Colorado
Ohio

Leaner Swing States (D/R+2 or +3)

Wisconsin
Pennsylvania
New Mexico
New Hampshire
Minnesota

Virginia
Florida
Missouri

Outer Tier Swing States (D or R 4-5)

Michigan
Oregon
New Jersey
Maine
Washington

North Carolina
 
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BritishDixie
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« Reply #10 on: June 18, 2012, 11:58:36 AM »
Democratic Swing States
1. New Mexico
2. Michigan
3. Colorado
4. Nevada
5. Pennsylvania
6. Virginia
7. Minnesota
8. Wisconsin

"Pure" Swing States
1. Iowa
2. Florida
3. New Hampshire

Republican Swing States
1. Missouri
2. Ohio
3. North Carolina
4. Montana
5. Arizona

Most Democratic to Most Republican downwards.
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