New PA poll by Quinnipiac likely to show Obama up 6
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Author Topic: New PA poll by Quinnipiac likely to show Obama up 6  (Read 818 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: June 12, 2012, 12:23:58 AM »
Numbers will be released later today, but my source says that Obama leads by 46-40, after leading 47-39 a month ago.

The Quinnipiac poll was conducted June 5-10, and surveyed 997 registered voters.
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Miles
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« Reply #1 on: June 12, 2012, 12:25:31 AM »
The momentum is with Romney, of course.
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HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #2 on: June 12, 2012, 12:28:27 AM »
It'll be neat to see the party ID of the sample. That's not the horrible showing I was thinking Romney would have in PA.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #3 on: June 12, 2012, 09:45:00 AM »
It would be unwise for Romney to give up on Pennsylvania. Its a state he certainly can win.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #4 on: June 12, 2012, 11:31:03 AM »
With Casey on the ballot, Obama should win PA.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #5 on: June 12, 2012, 11:37:18 AM »
Quote from: Tmthforu94 on June 12, 2012, 09:45:00 AM
It would be unwise for Romney to give up on Pennsylvania. Its a state he certainly can win.

Why would Romney be the first Republican since George H.W. Bush in 1988 to win Pennsylvania?

Note that the 6 point margin comes with Romney having a low base. It doesn't establish that he's broken through the Republican ceiling for presidential races there.
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Umengus
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« Reply #6 on: June 12, 2012, 11:37:43 AM »
Quote from: OC on June 12, 2012, 11:31:03 AM
With Casey on the ballot, Obama should win PA.

lol is there a cult for casey in PA ?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7 on: June 12, 2012, 01:02:33 PM »
My source was right:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/pennsylvania/release-detail?ReleaseID=1761

There must be some kind of leak within Quinnipiac, because Quinnipiac always releases their polls at 6.30 am Eastern, but I got the numbers about 6 hours earlier.
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
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« Reply #8 on: June 12, 2012, 02:33:03 PM »
Hooray for not being an outlier!
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #9 on: June 12, 2012, 02:36:25 PM »
I remember it being said on another recent PA poll that Romney may be giving up in PA - I think there was actually an entire thread on it.

Well, Romney will be taking a 6 state bus tour, can't remember if it's this week or next, and Pennsylvania is on it. Sounds like the Governor isn't quite ready to pull the plug, and rightfully so.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #10 on: June 12, 2012, 02:44:42 PM »
Quote from: MilesC56 on June 12, 2012, 12:25:31 AM
The momentum is with Romney, of course.

"Analysis" as idiotic as the thought of Specter bringing Bush across the finish line in 2004 especially in a state known for ticket splitting (though I'm not saying Romney will necessarily win PA).
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