WI: Rasmussen: Thompson cruising to victory

[Linus Van Pelt]

Mainly he's boring.

[Napoleon]

What is a Bay Area lifestyle?

[bore]

What is a Bay Area lifestyle?

The only way krazen could make it more obvious would be doing this:

Lesbian!!!!! She's a Lesbian!!!!!

[krazen1211]

Honestly the main reason why this isn't competitive is probably a name recognition gap between a popular former governor (he has to be somewhat popular to have been elected as a Republican multiple times in a traditionally Democratic state and is still polling 50%+ here) and a congresswoman from Madison the rest of the state has probably heard very little of.

That and the political transformation of sorts Wisconsin seems to be going through at the moment. While, I'm not convinced Mitt Romney has a chance at Wisconsin quite yet, if the Republicans nominate Tommy Thompson, he will likely cruise to an easy victory barring something strange happening.

A cool data point is that Neumann lost by roughly 2% to Feingold in 1998. Losing to a top flight candidate is discouraging, but at least now he is up against a bottom flight candidate if he wins the primary.

[krazen1211]

So, basically, Thompson's leading by 6-8, and this is a likely R Gain. Good to know.

Most likely.. though I'm gonna guess 8-10, but this one is a likely R gain

Good calls!

[bore]

Honestly the main reason why this isn't competitive is probably a name recognition gap between a popular former governor (he has to be somewhat popular to have been elected as a Republican multiple times in a traditionally Democratic state and is still polling 50%+ here) and a congresswoman from Madison the rest of the state has probably heard very little of.

That and the political transformation of sorts Wisconsin seems to be going through at the moment. While, I'm not convinced Mitt Romney has a chance at Wisconsin quite yet, if the Republicans nominate Tommy Thompson, he will likely cruise to an easy victory barring something strange happening.

A cool data point is that Neumann lost by roughly 2% to Feingold in 1998. Losing to a top flight candidate is discouraging, but at least now he is up against a bottom flight candidate if he wins the primary.

Feingold was never a top flight candidate, if he had lost by 2% to Kohl that might indicate something.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

If Tammy Baldwin was married to a big tough manly man with muscles and a penis and a manly job like long-haul trucker or haircare specialist, or if she was such a man herself, I sincerely doubt that anybody would think to use the fact that she's slightly less popular in her safely left-wing district than national left-wing icon Russ Feingold to indicate much of anything.

What exactly does "Bay area" voting record mean?  And I thought nobody cared what women do to women; it's only when men do it, that some feel threatened.

Bay Area=mythical homogeneously white-liberal elitist cultural area, which may or may not be the same area as Dane County or New England, which are similarly homogeneous, dontcha know.

Nobody cared what women did to each other until relatively recently but that's one of the changes that modernity and the Victorian fixation on better-managed sex wrought.

Clearly everyone in Oakland is a white elitist. LOL.

[nkpatel1279]

Thompson-R is likely to win the Republican primary due to Neumann-R,Fitzgerald-R and Hovde-R splitting the conservative vote in the primary. Regarding the November General Election against Baldwin-D. Thompson-R is favored to defeat her - but Baldwin-D runs a better than expected campaign and loses by a  52-47 percent margin instead of a 57-42 percent margin. In 2016- Baldwin-D decides to challenge Ron Johnson-R.

[Badger]

What exactly does "Bay area" voting record mean?  And I thought nobody cared what women do to women; it's only when men do it, that some feel threatened.

It would refer to a voting record that is reflective of having a massive excess of liberals in one's district. Such is true in the Bay Area but not the state of Wisconsin.

The fact you had the audacity to make this facade of a claim immediately after posting about 'Baldwin's Bay-area lifestyle' is astounding, you insufferable bigot.

[AmericanNation]

Thompson-R is likely to win the Republican primary due to Neumann-R,Fitzgerald-R and Hovde-R splitting the conservative vote in the primary. Regarding the November General Election against Baldwin-D. Thompson-R is favored to defeat her - but Baldwin-D runs a better than expected campaign and loses by a  52-47 percent margin instead of a 57-42 percent margin. In 2016- Baldwin-D decides to challenge Ron Johnson-R.

Good Call.  The margin is in flux, but very likely in that range.  Will Baldwin outspend Thompson?