Suprassing 300 electoral votes?

[WhyteRain]

and

Very nice job!

[WhyteRain]

Yeah, I think this is the most likely Obama map and it's 303 EVs. CO, OH, and VA will probably all be within 3 points though.

Wait ... you think Obama will win with 303 EV  ... this year?  Win every state he won in 2008 except North Carolina?

If so, then you have more confidence than I do in the ability of the American academia and media to dumb down Americans to mindless drones.  (I know they're trying and that they will eventually succeed, I just disagree that they've succeeded already.)

[Modify:]  I'll bet Obama gets closer to 150 than 300 EVs.

[WhyteRain]

Yeah, I think this is the most likely Obama map and it's 303 EVs. CO, OH, and VA will probably all be within 3 points though.

Wait ... you think Obama will win with 303 EV  ... this year?  Win every state he won in 2008 except North Carolina?

I think you're missing Indiana, my friend.

And Florida.

You're both right.  Mea culpa!

[WhyteRain]

With the probable exception of Washington, Obama won't win any states won by William Jennings Bryan in 1896:



The modern Democrat Party is the Gilded Age GOP (the party of "negro" rights and big business favoritism).  It's descended from the Federalist and Whig Parties -- look at the election maps of 1796 and 1812 for example.





The "Party of Jackson"?  That's a laugh.  Here's the 1828 election:

[WhyteRain]

With the probable exception of Washington, Obama won't win any states won by William Jennings Bryan in 1896:

Well, this likely will be a "wave election", I'll give you that.

More likely than not he wins Washington, that one CA vote, Nevada, Colorado, and Virginia, and plausibly Florida and North Carolina as well. In a wave for him he'd also get Montana, Missouri, and NE-02.

In a wave he would also hold Indiana, pick up Arizona and Georgia, and be on the margin of   picking off NE-01, South Carolina, Texas, Kentucky, Tennessee, and maybe West Virginia.