Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 18, 2019, 08:59:59 am
HomePredMockPollEVCalcAFEWIKIHelpLogin Register
News: Please delete your old personal messages.

+  Atlas Forum
|-+  Election Archive
| |-+  Election Archive
| | |-+  All Archived Boards
| | | |-+  2012 Elections
| | | | |-+  2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
| | | | | |-+  NH: Rasmussen: Obama has single-digit advantage
« previous next »
Pages: [1] Print
Author Topic: NH: Rasmussen: Obama has single-digit advantage  (Read 2679 times)
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,379
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: June 21, 2012, 11:29:59 am »

New Poll: New Hampshire President by Rasmussen on 2012-6-21

Summary: D: 48%, R: 43%, I: 2%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

Logged
olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,461
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: June 21, 2012, 12:21:07 pm »

A rassy poll showing Obama ahead in NH?  Romney surely needs NH to have any  hope of winning this election.
« Last Edit: June 21, 2012, 12:41:25 pm by OC »Logged
Lief 🐋
Lief
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 40,644
Dominica


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: June 21, 2012, 12:21:27 pm »

Not bad.
Logged
mondale84
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -3.30

P P

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: June 21, 2012, 12:22:23 pm »

This is in line with Obama +8 in Michigan
Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,841
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.21, S: -1.91


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: June 21, 2012, 12:29:59 pm »

Romnye surely needs NH to have any  hope of winning this election.

LOL, no.

Anyhow, I pretty much believe these numbers.
Logged
timothyinMD
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 438


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: June 21, 2012, 12:51:09 pm »

STARTING the campaign with Obama's lead in NH cut in 1/2?  I'll take it!  This will change over the next four months.  And ditto to our Canadian buddy, Romney does NOT need NH to win, but it would be handy
Logged
Chaddyr23
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 477
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.19, S: -5.83


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: June 21, 2012, 01:26:35 pm »

Not bad for the state Romney treats as his backyard.
Logged
░tmthforu94░
tmthforu94
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 20,717
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: June 21, 2012, 02:26:18 pm »

Hmm, I expected this to be a favorable state for Romney. There's still plenty of time, at least.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,379
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: June 21, 2012, 02:50:35 pm »

STARTING the campaign with Obama's lead in NH cut in 1/2?  I'll take it!  This will change over the next four months.  And ditto to our Canadian buddy, Romney does NOT need NH to win, but it would be handy

Considering Obama was trailing in NH last year, I'll certainly take this as well!
Logged
Invisible Obama
DrScholl
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 8,892
United States



View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: June 21, 2012, 02:53:55 pm »

Romney has lost ground here, I recall a few polls that showed him up by a few points. Looks like the only home state Romney will be winning is Utah.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,443


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: June 21, 2012, 03:12:10 pm »

I'm surprised. I really thought this would be a good state for Romney, but it's not.
Logged
nkpatel1279
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 1,714
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: June 21, 2012, 04:34:09 pm »

It is safe to say that Obama-D has the Northeasten States secured in his collumn.
He is going to win NH-4,PA-20,and ME-2CD.
The NewEngland and Mid Atlantic States= (ME-4,NH-4,VT-3,MA-11,RI-4,CT-7,NY-29,PA-20,NJ-14,DE-3,MD-10 and DC-3)=112ev.
Obama-D also has the Pacific West coast states secured in his collumn as well.
HI-4,CA-55,WA-12,and OR-7= 190ev.
The Midwestern States Obama-D is strongly favored to win is IL-20(home state) and MN-10= 220ev. plus Obama-D will win the battleground Southwestern states in NM-5,NV-6,and CO-9.= 240ev.  What is left is MI-16,WI-10,and IA-6 or OH-18 and VA-13 or FL-29 and NE-2CD.
Logged
Snowstalker's Last Stand
Snowstalker
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,308
Greece


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: June 21, 2012, 04:45:20 pm »

New Hampshire is a wild card state in this election; I suspect that it could swing hard to Romney once the campaign is in full swing, or it could stay in the lean Obama column.
Logged
timothyinMD
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 438


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: June 21, 2012, 05:50:15 pm »

STARTING the campaign with Obama's lead in NH cut in 1/2?  I'll take it!  This will change over the next four months.  And ditto to our Canadian buddy, Romney does NOT need NH to win, but it would be handy

Considering Obama was trailing in NH last year, I'll certainly take this as well!

Polls taken more than ONE YEAR before an election = beyond meaningless
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,379
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: June 21, 2012, 05:54:50 pm »

STARTING the campaign with Obama's lead in NH cut in 1/2?  I'll take it!  This will change over the next four months.  And ditto to our Canadian buddy, Romney does NOT need NH to win, but it would be handy

Considering Obama was trailing in NH last year, I'll certainly take this as well!

Polls taken more than ONE YEAR before an election = beyond meaningless

Not necessarily; e.g, PPP had Rehberg up 2 and Heinrich up 5 last summer...those races have hardly changed since.
Logged
Eraserhead
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 42,283
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: June 21, 2012, 06:09:59 pm »

A rassy poll showing Obama ahead in NH?  Romney surely needs NH to have any  hope of winning this election.

Bush didn't need it in 2004.

The election is unlikely to be close enough that NH's four electoral votes will matter either way.
Logged
Solidarity Forever
Alfred F. Jones
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 9,799
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: June 21, 2012, 06:40:11 pm »

A rassy poll showing Obama ahead in NH?  Romney surely needs NH to have any  hope of winning this election.

Bush didn't need it in 2004.

The election is unlikely to be close enough that NH's four electoral votes will matter either way.

But if Obama does well in CO/NM/NV/IA, which he probably will, we could see Romney with 270 like this:

Logged
olowakandi
olawakandi
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 23,461
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17

View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: June 21, 2012, 06:42:03 pm »

And Bush and McCain didn't pick a VP nominee from a swing state with Palin and Cheney. Rubio and Portman are on Romney's VP shortlist where FL and OH might be closed.
Logged
RogueBeaver
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,495
Canada


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: June 21, 2012, 06:51:29 pm »

Sounds about right.
Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 7,841
Canada


Political Matrix
E: -3.21, S: -1.91


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: June 21, 2012, 10:38:35 pm »

A rassy poll showing Obama ahead in NH?  Romney surely needs NH to have any  hope of winning this election.

Bush didn't need it in 2004.

The election is unlikely to be close enough that NH's four electoral votes will matter either way.

But if Obama does well in CO/NM/NV/IA, which he probably will, we could see Romney with 270 like this:



eh, I still think Romney has a better shot in Iowa/Colorado than NH.
Logged
Brittain33
brittain33
Moderators
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 17,443


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: June 22, 2012, 06:38:22 am »

That map nails it. If Obama can count on the Gore states in the Midwest plus the trifecta in the Mountain region, he can lose a lot of big states and NH takes on outsize importance. I've been assuming that losing OH, FL, and VA meant losing NH and the election, but if Obama holds NH, it's pretty easy to see him holding a bunch of MW states that rarely vote R and are never more R than the nation as a whole.
Logged
pbrower2a
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 19,927
United States


View Profile Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: June 22, 2012, 09:45:11 am »

Hmm, I expected this to be a favorable state for Romney. There's still plenty of time, at least.

He has to have an almost-constant presence in New Hampshire and have huge ad buys. New Hampshire is mostly in an expensive market for ad buys (Boston) for four electoral votes -- and the ad buys would be wasted largely in the market of greater Boston.

If New Hampshire is at all close for Obama, then the state will be flooded with volunteers commuting from greater Boston, Providence, Hartford, etc.
Logged
Pages: [1] Print 
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length
Logout

Terms of Service

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines