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  NBC/WSJ Poll: Obama +3 nationally, +8 in "swing states"
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Author Topic: NBC/WSJ Poll: Obama +3 nationally, +8 in "swing states"  (Read 541 times)
Lief 🐋
Lief
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« on: June 26, 2012, 09:04:42 pm »

National numbers: Obama 47, Romney 44
Swing-state numbers: Obama 50, Romney 42

http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/06/26/12423422-nbcwsj-poll-obama-romney-remain-in-dead-heat
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2012, 12:05:13 am »

The swing state numbers are meaningless, because the population of the swing states is about 90 million out of 315 million. In a sample of 1000 people, this would only yield about 300 respondents, with a MoE of about 6-7%.

Today, we'll get a Quinnipiac "swing state" poll anyway, from FL, OH and PA.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2012, 12:37:52 am »

Today, we'll get a Quinnipiac "swing state" poll anyway, from FL, OH and PA.

By this time in 2008, Quinnipiac has already started polling "likely voters".

Maybe they are starting with this today as well. Let's wait and see.
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