Quinnipiac: Democrats far ahead in OH, PA - tied race in FL
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  Quinnipiac: Democrats far ahead in OH, PA - tied race in FL		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: Quinnipiac: Democrats far ahead in OH, PA - tied race in FL  (Read 977 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: June 27, 2012, 05:17:37 AM »
Florida:

41-40 Nelson/Mack

Ohio:

50-34 Brown/Mandel

Pennsylvania:

49-32 Casey/Smith

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/institutes-and-centers/polling-institute/presidential-swing-states-%28fl-oh-and-pa%29/release-detail?ReleaseID=1767
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2012, 07:37:06 AM »
I have a hard time believing that Connie Sheen is tied with Bill Nelson but Josh Mandel trails Sherrod Brown by 16. Given what all the other firms are saying about those races, looks outlierish to me.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2012, 08:50:57 AM »
I'll take these numbers. If Republicans win one of these seats, we'll have a Senate majority.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2012, 08:52:44 AM »
Quote from: Tmthforu94 on June 27, 2012, 08:50:57 AM
I'll take these numbers. If Republicans win one of these seats, we'll have a Senate majority.

Still can with ND/NE/MO/MT/WI, maybe throwing VA in there as well. That said I'd rather win OH than FL.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #4 on: June 27, 2012, 10:30:25 AM »
Quote from: Mideast Assemblyman RogueBeaver on June 27, 2012, 08:52:44 AM
Quote from: Tmthforu94 on June 27, 2012, 08:50:57 AM
I'll take these numbers. If Republicans win one of these seats, we'll have a Senate majority.

Still can with ND/NE/MO/MT/WI, maybe throwing VA in there as well. That said I'd rather win OH than FL.
Oh, I'm not saying one of these would be the 51st seat. Smiley I'm just saying that if Republicans win Florida, it means we've likely taken the Senate. Similar to the expression I've been hearing "If Romney wins Michigan, it means he's already won the election"
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Snowstalker Mk. II
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« Reply #5 on: June 27, 2012, 10:40:44 AM »
Casey is of course safe.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: June 28, 2012, 11:27:44 AM »
Seems like they got the Prez race in Florida and senate race backwards, Nelson should be up by high singles and Obama should be up by a single pt.
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Donerail
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« Reply #7 on: June 28, 2012, 02:05:50 PM »
Quote from: OC on June 28, 2012, 11:27:44 AM
Seems like they got the Prez race in Florida and senate race backwards, Nelson should be up by high singles and Obama should be up by a single pt.

This is entirely correct. Nelson is much more popular here than Obama is, and Connie Sheen is less popular than Mittens. These numbers seem off.
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Donerail
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« Reply #8 on: June 29, 2012, 01:09:52 PM »
Quote from: GPORTER on June 29, 2012, 09:41:12 AM
Quote from: Tmthforu94 on June 27, 2012, 08:50:57 AM
I'll take these numbers. If Republicans win one of these seats, we'll have a Senate majority.
And think in the end we'll take Florida. A great victory that will be.

Okay, sure... I'll remember this when Nelson wins.
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RJ
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« Reply #9 on: June 29, 2012, 02:15:04 PM »
I've always thought Quinnipiac was a liberal leaning pollster, and the OH result is proof. There's no way it's Brown by 16.
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