CNN: Romney crushing in swing states (user search)
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  CNN: Romney crushing in swing states (search mode)
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Author Topic: CNN: Romney crushing in swing states  (Read 2921 times)
timothyinMD
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Posts: 438


« on: July 03, 2012, 02:12:42 PM »

CNN's poll is completely questionable.  The 15 states they cite as "battleground states" where Romney is +8 were won by Obama by 6.  There is NO WAY IN HELL Romney is ahead in these 15 states by 8, but losing overall by 3.

And no, the fact that AZ, IN and MO are included does not skew the result.  they are just 3 of 15 states sampled
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timothyinMD
Jr. Member
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Posts: 438


« Reply #1 on: July 03, 2012, 05:56:48 PM »

If it's a subsample it's essentially meaningless. If the entire sample is composed of swing states, that would be a valid poll.

I can't tell based on the poll info provided.  My point is not that this poll proves Romney is going to win.  My point is that polling data is not very reliable when you break it down, at least in this case
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