The Next Four Years
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  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election What-ifs? (Moderator: Dereich)
  The Next Four Years
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Poll
Question: Who Should be Speaker of the House?
#1
Eric Cantor
 
#2
Kevin McCarthy
 
#3
Other
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 8

Author Topic: The Next Four Years  (Read 11621 times)
NHI
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #75 on: July 26, 2012, 09:03:25 PM »
« edited: July 26, 2012, 10:02:16 PM by NHI »

Polling: July 2016

Ayotte v. Cuomo:
Cuomo: 47%
Ayotte: 46%

"America's future rests in the small businesses.We must again be a place that encourages and welcomes, not stifles it from succeeding."

AYOTTE TO ANNOUNCE VICE PRESIDENT ANY DAY
"According to sources, Senator Ayotte has been keeping her pick close to the chest, with only her inner most circle knowing the selection. Our sources indicate that Ayotte's list has been narrowed down to three prospective candidates that includes: Marco Rubio, John Thune and Tim Pawlenty." -- John King

"Rubio has repeatedly stated he's not going to be the candidate. Now politics is the art of double talk, but I don't see Senator Ayotte picking another senator. It's going to be a governor, someone with executive experience; that's why I'm looking at Tim Pawlenty as a strong possibility." -- Alex Castellanos.

AYOTTE TO ANNOUNCE VP IN NEW HAMPSHIRE

"...for eight years we've seen a president waffle and lead America into an economic slump that we've still have yet to dig out. The President calls his economic plan a success, but look around, businesses shutdown, homes foreclosed, unemployment skyrockets and dreams dashed. The vision I am laying out for America is one of renewed strength, hope and optimism. A vision that unite all Americans, Democrats and Republicans alike. For at the end of each day we are not members of a political party, but members of one family, the American family, and together we can and frankly must succeed. So as my pick for Vice President of the United States I have selected a person who has sought to stay away from the fray of politics, but instead serve the public good. This person's credentials and experience speak for themselves, and I have no doubt about this person's ability to serve with me as Vice President and to assume the Presidency if need be.

For America's comeback team, ready to tackle the challenges reek the rewards of the 21st, I present to you the next Vice President of the United States, Former Secretary of State, Condoleezza Rice."







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NHI
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« Reply #76 on: July 27, 2012, 07:08:33 PM »

If The Election Were Held Today, Who Would You Vote For?
Ayotte/Rice: 46%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 44%

"Is Rice the game changer for Ayotte or does this race remain tight up until the end?" -- John King.

"I think Rice changes the game entirely, because now you have the first all female ticket for President and Vice President." -- Alex Castellanos.

"I think Rice is a game changer to use that redundant phrase, but I also have to believe that there are some in the Republican base who are not to thrilled with Secretary Rice, considering her position on abortion." -- Donna Brazile.

"Is it enough to stop her from being nominated?" -- John King

"No, but there is the hypothetical concern about some voters in the base staying home, but I think this ticket is going to energize the party and energize the country, because we are potentially looking at history and people want to be apart of that." -- Alex Castellanos.

"In the latest poll Senator Ayotte leads Governor Cuomo by two points, whereas last week she was trailing by one to two, judging by the polls. So we'll see." -- John King.


Republican National Convention: RICE NOMINATED BY ACCLAMATION;
Conventions readies for her historic speech.
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« Reply #77 on: July 27, 2012, 07:34:23 PM »

Rice was a great pick. This timeline is getting better and better. I wish O'Malley hadn't been chosen though. A New York Democrat and a Maryland Democrat is a bad ticket. Schweitzer would have been better than O'Malley. But I can see Ayotte-Rice beating Cuomo-O'Malley pretty badly. There goes our chances at 16 years in the White House.
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NHI
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« Reply #78 on: July 28, 2012, 06:25:03 AM »

Throughout my career in public life I have shunned electoral politics, believing it brought a person down and that nothing could be accomplished, yet I refuse to shun a call to serve our country, and when I received a phone call from the woman who will make history and become the next President of The United States, I said 'Senator, It would be a privilege and so here I am tonight, filled with humility and gratitude in accepting your nomination for Vice President of The United States...

I was a Democrat, at one point in my life, but the foreign policy of Jimmy Carter broke me away from the Democrat and as well as my father's influence. But the policies under President Carter I saw America grow weaker and less respected in the world, and then came Ronald Reagan. Ronald Reagan not only believed in America's strength at home, but he believed in it abroad as well. A strong America will deter enemies from attacking the foundations of liberty and freedom across the globe. America must not be small in a world so large, America must stand tall and represent the last best hope of man on earth.

I see similarities in Governor Cuomo's foreign policy. He advocates for a weaker America, and sadly he advocates an America that we've seen for the last eight years. Frankly everything Governor Cuomo is offering is a repeat of the last four years. So I ask you does America want four more years of a failed foreign policy that diminishes America's strength, respect and prestige in the world? Does America need four more years of failed economic policy that's only solution is more government spending and higher taxes? If the answer is yes, then the obvious vote is for Governor Cuomo, but if the answer is no, as I suspect all in this room believe and many across this country believe as well, then I suggest another candidate for the office. Stand with me and support the next President of The United States, Kelly Ayotte. Let's make history, let's keep America strong and let us be the party that is welcoming to every America, one of big, bold, bright colors, not pale pastels.

Thank you all so very much, God Bless you God Bless The United States of America."



"She hit it out of the park." -- Alex Castellanos.

"A powerful speech. I don't agree with Ms. Rice on much, but tonight I was filled with great pride watching her speak and it made me realize how far the Republican party has come. Tonight we watched the first African-American female accept the nomination to run for Vice President, along with the first woman to be nominated by a major party for President. This is a great night for America." -- Donna Brazile

"Do you expect a large bounce for The Ayotte/Rice ticket?" -- John King.

"I would suspect they'll have a considerable lead after the convention is over. Most analyst were saying tonight might deliver the biggest viewing of a convention speech after President Obama in 2008." -- John Avalon.

"Actually it was John McCain, but who's counting?" -- Alex Castellanos

Viewership for Convention Speeches:
Condoleezza Rice: 41.8 million
John McCain: 38.9 million
Barack Obama: 38.4 million
Sarah Palin: 37 million

Headline: RICE DELIVERS

Map as of August 31st:
Ayotte: 239
Cuomo: 216
Tossup: 83

Excerpt of Battleground State Polls:

Florida:
Ayotte/Rice: 49%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 45%

North Carolina:
Ayotte/Rice: 50%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 45%

Ohio:
Cuomo/O'Malley: 45.5%
Ayotte/Rice: 45.0%

Virginia:
Ayotte/Rice: 46.4%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 46.2%%

Michigan:
Cuomo/O'Malley: 48%
Ayotte/Rice: 45%

Wisconsin: *Host of Democratic Convention
Cuomo/O'Malley: 47%
Ayotte/Rice: 44%

Nevada: * Host of Republican Convention
Cuomo/O'Malley: 46.8%
Ayotte/Rice: 46.2%
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NHI
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« Reply #79 on: July 29, 2012, 05:13:24 PM »

Condoleezza Rice is a historic pick and I praise Senator Ayotte and the Republican Party for coming out of the dark ages and going with a different direction with their presidential ticket. The party has finally come into the 21st century, but the candidates' proposals are back in the dark ages. Governor Cuomo stands by his commitment to protect the President's signature health care law, his commitment to education and seeing that those at the top give back their fair share. Governor Cuomo represents America's future and Senator Ayotte America's past. It's a clear and stark contrast for the nation to make."

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NHI
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« Reply #80 on: July 29, 2012, 10:14:05 PM »


"Fellow delegates, distinguished guest, and fellow citizens of this great country, I stand before tonight with a heart filled with pride and deep humility and without reservation and without question I accept your nomination for the presidency... I stand here tonight making history and I do not take it lightly. My candidacy opens the doors to a new day for this country, and tonight America we can say we've nearly cracked the highest glass ceiling and on November we will finally shatter the glass and make history, giving a new era of hope, optimism not just for women, but for every America...I am running as woman, yes, but I am running as a wife, a mother, a daughter, a senator, a citizen and one who deeply loves their country and is fighting to see that America remains the land that gave me and so many others the opportunity to succeed and rise to achieve our dreams...

We were a nation that prided ourselves on hard work, determination and commitment to ideals and principles. I want to make that America possible again. I want to revive it. I want to let go the innovators and dreamers and allow them to rise to their potential. I want an unbounded American return. A new era of prosperity never before seen on our soil, and tonight let it be the first step towards that era...

The goal of my administration is not to criticize the few and forget the many, or as my opponents jab forget the many and reward the few. I am standing up for every single American. I want to see every American be able to rise to their full potential. I offer to America a fresh start, a new beginning, and tonight America I ask you to begin that journey with me.

I wish my opponent Governor Cuomo the best of luck on the campaign ahead, we will have a meeting the minds and ideas, and we will present a clear path for America, for the people to chose. I will not levy a negative attack on my opponent, I will stick to the issues and present a campaign of ideas, not slanders. Of visions, not double talk. The voters will make their voice in November, and the choice is their's to make. My vision for America is simple. An embrace of free markets, lower taxes, less spending and less government in our lives and business. An adherence to the constitution, and a foreign policy that makes sense and ensures a strong and steady America. Those are the pillars of my campaign and will be the pillars of my administration.

I pledge to you tonight I will work tirelessly to earn your vote and if elected will work tirelessly for you, all to the best of my ability, so help me God. 

Post-Convention Poll:
Ayotte/Rice: 49%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 45%

"Cuomo's a terrific candidate for the Democrats. He represents a break from Obama, without directly criticizing Obama. He's liberal for the liberals, but moderate enough for the moderates and independents. He's perfect. The problem is he's running against history, a bad mix. The Ayotte/Rice ticket is dynamite, The Cuomo/O'Malley ticket is strong. It's hard to say who wins, because I do believe it is a close race and we shouldn't be wavered by conventions polls, because Cuomo will have a lead next week, but I think the edge goes to Ayotte." -- Alex Castellanos

"Ayotte and Rice are like the sun, Cuomo and O'Malley are like a bright lightbulb. Something that is so shinny and nice at first, but put it next to the shimmering ball it becomes insignificant." -- Kevin Madden



The Democratic National Convention: September: 5-8, 2016
Key Speakers:
Monday: President Barack Obama, Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton
Tuesday: Former Pres. Bill Clinton, Keynote: Governor Cory Booker
Wednesday: Elizabeth Warren, Nominating Speech, Martin O'Malley, Vice President Nomination  Acceptance Speech
Thursday: Mario Cuomo, Nominating Speech, Andrew Cuomo, Presidential Nomination  Acceptance Speech

Obama Approval Rating:
Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 40%

Unemployment Rate: August 2016
7.0%

OBAMA PRESS CONFERENCE
"Certainly the job's report on Friday is not what everyone wanted to see. I certainly wanted to see something better, but it the current trend of now. America has recovered, we're better off, but like always there is more to be done and it's time for Congress to act and do their job, instead of me telling them to do their job."

"Mr. President, what are you thoughts regarding Senator Ayotte's speech this week? Did you watch it?"

"You know I have a job...it's the one these guys are vying for, so I don't get too many TV breaks, but I did catch two of the speeches this week, by former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and by Senator Ayotte. I congratulate both women, especially Senator Ayotte. It's always great for this country to have an opportunity like this, I know I felt the same vibes eight years ago, so I wish her the best of luck."

"Do you have any comments on what she said?"

"No. I've said all I need to on the conventions and political matters."

"Mr. President, do you believe as some economist have recently stated that America will have to get use to unemployment at these levels; meaning the new normal?"

"Look, what we have for unemployment is not normal by any means, it's still above where it needs to be, but if you look at where we were, the argument can be made that things are better, not worse. Worse would be double digit unemployment. Still we have to deal with the problem that exists and get those numbers to drop even lower."

CNN BREAKING NEWS: TROPICAL STORM IGOR, NOW HURRICANE

IGOR POUNDS FLORIDA; DEMOCRATIC CONVENTION SHAKEUP


Pres. Obama to address convention via satellite

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Clinton1996
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« Reply #81 on: July 29, 2012, 10:31:55 PM »



CNN BREAKING NEWS: TROPICAL STORM IGOR, NOW HURRICANE

IGOR POUNDS FLORIDA; DEMOCRATIC CONVENTION SHAKEUP


Pres. Obama to address convention via satellite


I really hope this doesn't turn out to be the Republicans' 2008 and Obama's Katrina.
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NHI
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« Reply #82 on: July 30, 2012, 07:29:01 AM »

Pres. Obama's Statement Following Hurricane Igor
"To the people of South Florida we are standing with you and you will not be forgotten. We will rebuild and we will recover..."


Obama Rallies The Troops, Clinton delivers the message
"Not while there is still so much to do, America must not yield, America must keep going. Together, stand with Governor Cuomo and Governor O'Malley and continue writing the next pages and chapters in America's history."

"Not just because he's from my home state of New York, but because he is the most qualified, the best prepared and is armed with a vision to lead America into her best days!...I think it's wonderful to see two women running for President and Vice President, and some have even evoked my name in drawing comparisons to Senator Ayotte. Sadly, the comparison ends after they say we're both women. The vision laid out by Senator Ayotte backtracks. It sends America back to the policies of allowing big banks to call the shots, the rich to pay little to no taxes and for health care to secondary. Her Vice President is a competent woman, but her foreign policy begs to differ. She's a protege of George Bush, and together they present a clear choice for America to make. For me the answer is simple: No way, no how, No Rice and certainly no Ayotte!"


"Certainly a good start to the conventions for the Democrat's tonight?" -- John King

"Yes. The President showed great leadership by staying with the people in Florida, rather than heading to the convention and then you have Hillary Clinton, a great night for the Democrats." -- Hilary Rosen

"I was really interested at the digs made by Hillary Clinton over George Bush's foreign policy, when she mentioned Rice in her speech. I have to wonder if the old let's pin everything on George Bush will work?" -- Alex Castellanos

"It's a mixed bag for the Democrats to keep tying everything back to George Bush, they have to present a vision for the future." -- John Avalon

"The Democrats are trying and I say trying to make George Bush the 21st century's Herbert Hoover, and it's a risky venture because the electorate is much more different today than it was in the 1930 and 1940s, but it could work. I think surrogates can bring up Bush to a degree, but Cuomo and O'Malley need to stay away from it." -- James Carville
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NHI
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« Reply #83 on: August 02, 2012, 10:42:38 AM »

HEADLINE: O'MALLEY BLASTS AYOTTE; BUILDS UP CUOMO
"The Tea Party brigade is in full force with Senator Ayotte at the helm. America's history is written by repeating failure, that's insanity. We tried it there way and simply we won't go that way again!"

Cuomo Nominates Cuomo
"I am filled with tremendous pride as I stand before you tonight and nominate my son for Democratic nomination. I could not be prouder, and it not just because he is my son. He is the most prepared, the most qualified and most visionary candidate in the race for President and he willl lead America well..."

"America must be a shinning city on a hill"
"....As my father eloquently put back in 1984 when he criticized another Republican candidate for President. Senator Ayotte sees a shining city on a hill that different. She sees one that benefits only the few, and forgets the many. A shinning city on a hill that's light will go out because there's no money left to fund it. A government rendered all but defunct, a forgotten middle class and a reduced focus on education. That's not our America. For our America is a shining city on a hill, one where every American is doing well. Where every American prospers, where every America has a shot at the American Dream.

Now my opponent will lambast this speech and call me a socialist and that I evoked class warfare, but they can say all they want, but it doesn't make it so. This is not about punishing those who are successful, this is not about dividing the rich against the poor. This is about fairness, economic fairness for every American, and if they call it class warfare, then so be it!"


"Thoughts on Governor Cuomo's speech tonight?" -- John King

"He did a good job. A speech that reminded me a lot of Bill Clinton, just in the way it flowed and the direction he took. Now Cuomo is not like an Elizabeth Warren or even Barack Obama, he's more moderate when it comes to economics, but you saw at the end of that speech, the talk of fairness, that's a winning argument that he's going to use against Ayotte. He'll simply put it as, she's for an uneven play field, and he for a level one." -- James Carville

"It's going to be a close election, no doubt. I expect Cuomo to get a bump in the polls after this speech, but then I suspect it to go back to what we've seen." -- Alex Castellanos

"The general consensus appears to be Cuomo's VP was upstaged by the pick of Rice. He needs to find a way to regain the momentum and I think the speech is a start, but he'll need to go farther." -- Kevin Madden

"There is speculation that Ayotte and Cuomo may agree to do a debate sponsored by their campaign, along with the three regular presidential debates." -- John King

Post-Convention Poll:
Cuomo/O'Malley: 48%
Ayotte/Rice: 45%
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NHI
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« Reply #84 on: August 07, 2012, 05:44:58 AM »

The Final Stretch of Campaign 2016 Coming Soon...
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #85 on: August 07, 2012, 02:06:37 PM »

The Final Stretch of Campaign 2016 Coming Soon...

Looking forward to it Wink
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NHI
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« Reply #86 on: August 10, 2012, 07:58:27 AM »

Ayotte Returns to NH, Blasts Cuomo

"I look forward to debating Governor Cuomo in the first presidential debate this cycle. It is there that I hope the negative attacks can be put aside and we both can give the American people a campaign they deserve."

"Senator Ayotte and Governor Cuomo will meet tonight in Tampa, Florida for the first Presidential Debate. This one is being sponsored by the Committee for Presidential Debate, but we can now confirm that Governor Cuomo and Senator Ayotte will be meeting for a town hall style debate, put on by their campaigns, taking place in Richmond Virginia." -- John King.

"I think that's a great start, especially because the three regular debates typically are not game changers. The one that they're putting on together should be more interesting and enlightening. They're working with social media groups like Facebook and Twitter to better coordinate it and bring everyone into the fold." -- James Carville

Daily Tracking Poll:
Ayotte/Rice: 47%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 45%

Excerpt from Five Battleground States:

Ohio: Tossup
Cuomo/O'Malley: 46%
Ayotte/Rice: 46%

Florida: Lean Ayotte
Ayotte/Rice: 50%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 45%

Wisconsin: Tossup
Cuomo/O'Malley: 48%
Ayotte/Rice: 47%

Nevada: Tossup
Cuomo/O'Malley: 47%
Ayotte/Rice: 47%

Virginia: Tossup
Ayotte/Rice: 47%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 46%

Homestate Polling:

New Hampshire:
Ayotte/Rice: 53%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 44%

New York:
Cuomo/O'Malley: 60%
Ayotte/Rice: 37%

Obama Approval Rating: Post Hurricane Igor
Approval: 50%
Disapprove: 39%
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NHI
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« Reply #87 on: August 11, 2012, 09:59:36 PM »
« Edited: August 12, 2012, 11:53:00 AM by NHI »

DEBATE NIGHT: TAMPA, FLORIDA
"How do you feel going into tonight with Governor Cuomo?" -- Joe Scarborough

"I'm ready. Both Governor Cuomo and I have two very distinct and clear visions for America's future and I look forward to have a meeting of the minds tonight. It should be fun and hopefully revealing."

"Revealing?" -- Mika Brzezinski

"Governor Cuomo has largely played hide and seek with his plan, merely sugar coating and using platitudes. I hope tonight the American people are able to see clearly what his plan for America is. More taxes, more government, more spending. Essentially Barack Obama all over again."


"...And welcome to the first of three Presidential Debates, tonight featuring the two major candidates. On the Democratic Side, Governor Andrew Cuomo of New York and Senator Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire..."

"...The American people are ready for the tough medicine. For eight years we've had no leadership when it comes to entitlement reform. We've had no leadership when it comes to reigning in the national debt. Government has gotten bigger not smaller, encroaching on our freedoms, liberties and lives, and under my opponent's plan he wants to continue this. I am suggesting an alternative. I am proposing a vision for America that is a return to fiscal responsibility, shrinking government, and tackling the so called third rail of American politics: Entitlements. Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid. We need to address these programs if we want to save them for future generations. Reform is needed, otherwise we will hand to the next generations more debt, deficits and stack of bills. That's not the future they deserve." -- Kelly Ayotte

"Despite Senator Ayotte's best efforts I am not a tax and spend Democrat. I have applaud President Obama for all his work, but I am not President Obama. I am Andrew Cuomo, Governor of New York and my plan is one of economic fairness. While you want the very rich to pay no taxes, I am calling on the rich to pay their fair share, so that the middle class can grow." -- Andrew Cuomo

"Governor, that's not my plan. I want every American to pay the same amount in taxes. That's fair, not having some pay more and others pay less. I am talking about dramatically reforming the existing tax code. It's broken. A fair tax or a flat tax is the solution. A single rate that every American pays. You want economic fairness there you have it." -- Kelly Ayotte

Cumulative Polling Average:
Ayotte/Rice: 47.7%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 45.4%

Lincoln Douglas-Style Town Hall Debate: Richmond, Virginia

Reviews from Debate:
"A more off the cuff debate then the first. Certainly a great way to incorporate social media into it."
"Ayotte hits a homerun. Comes off a strong and had a great command of the issues."
"Cuomo stole the show, a better performance from his first debate."

Vice Presidential Debate:


Excerpts:

"Ms. Rice is Bush rerun. She stands championing the same foreign policy that created a second Vietnam-like war for the United States." -- Martin O'Malley

"Governor, I appreciate the attempt to try and link Senator Ayotte and this ticket as nothing but another run from George Bush, but let's not repeat the past. What's done is done. This is 2016, not 2008." -- Condoleezza Rice.

"But that's just it. Those who refuse to look at history will be doomed to repeat, and not to harp on the point but you are connected to the Bush Administration, like it or not." -- Martin O'Malley

"Yes. I served in the Bush Administration, and did we make mistakes? Sure, and like you say the goal is not to make those mistakes again. You have the beauty of hindsight, but you're sitting here today and you say that. Try working in the White House, when decisions need to be made left in right. It's a whole other ballgame, now to reiterate, yes I served in the Bush Administration, yes we made mistakes, but everyday I can tell you President Bush made the decisions he thought were in the best interest not for himself politically, but for the American people. I was inspired working in that White House, it's why I do what I do. It's why I'm here tonight, running for Vice President. It's about serving my country, not reaching out for political ambitions, something you seem to be very good at." -- Condoleezza Rice

"Here stands the electoral map at this point in the campaign. Including all the leans and likely states Governor Cuomo has 226 electoral votes, and Senator Ayotte has 239 votes. This is a razor thin election. There are 73 electoral votes up for grabs." -- John King

"The map is friendly to Ayotte, but not by much. She still needs Virginia, Ohio and maybe a pickup in Iowa or Nevada or even Colorado." -- James Carville
"Here are the results from four years ago. President Obama narrowly defeated Mitt Romney. He won the electoral vote, but lost the popular vote in a close contest." -- John King

"John King needs to hold onto Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado and take Iowa too. Now if he gets those three he only has 268, because New Hampshire is all but certain to go for Ayotte. That means he'll need to carry a state like Virginia, Ohio or Florida." -- Kevin Madden

"Looking at the numbers in Ohio, here is what happened with Governor Romney's win there four years." -- John King.

Ohio: 2012
Romney: 49.88%
Obama: 49.59%

"Now with the race between Ayotte and Cuomo." -- John King

Ohio: 2016
Ayotte: 47%
Cuomo: 46%

Virginia: 2012
Romney: 49.47%
Obama: 49.04%

Virginia: 2016
Ayotte: 46%
Cuomo: 45%

"It's Virginia and Ohio that Cuomo needs to focus on if he intends to win the election." -- Donna Brazile.

"Though I think he can do without those two states. If he can take Arizona away from Ayotte he's golden with 279 electoral votes." -- James Carville.

Arizona: 2016
Ayotte: 50%
Cuomo: 45%
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NHI
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« Reply #88 on: August 14, 2012, 09:21:50 PM »
« Edited: August 14, 2012, 09:29:49 PM by NHI »

*Author's Note: Skipping ahead to Election Day. The polls are tied between Ayotte and Cuomo.
Ayotte: 48%
Cuomo: 48%

Election Day:

"Turnout is unusually high today, at levels not seen since 2008. Both sides are energized, and with the way the polls look this election could go either way. Senator Ayotte says the momentum is with her, but Governor Cuomo is predicting a comeback, despite having a mediocre debate performance on the final debate." -- John King.


"Large turnout in the swing states could mean anything. An Ayotte victory, or a Cuomo victory. Too close and too early to tell." -- Gloria Borger

Ayotte/Rice v. Cuomo/O'Malley

"Senator Ayotte is the projected winner in the state of South Carolina." -- John King
SC:
Ayotte: 59.8%
Cuomo: 39.1%

"Governor Cuomo is the projected winner in Vermont." -- Anderson Cooper
VT:
Cuomo: 59.0%
Ayotte: 39.6%

"Senator Ayotte is the winner in the state of West Virginia and Kentucky, two Republican strongholds." -- John King

"And it appears we can make a major projection in the state of Indiana. It was not a strongly contested state, but certainly is one the first major states to fall tonight." -- Anderson Cooper.

"The focus tonight is on Ohio, Virginia, and North Carolina. President Obama won Virginia last time and like 2012 Virginia is contested but at the moment Ayotte holds a lead over Cuomo." -- John King

"If we do end up losing this election I suspect it will be close. Cuomo is a fighter and I suspect that to be up until the last vote is counted." -- James Carville

8:47

Ayotte/Rice: 92
Cuomo/O'Malley: 74

IL:
Cuomo: 50.8%
Ayotte: 47.5%

Virginia:
Ayotte: 51.1%
Cuomo: 46.4%

Ohio:
Ayotte: 50.0%
Cuomo: 49.2%

North Carolina:
Ayotte: 53.7%
Cuomo: 44.9%

Florida:
Ayotte: 50.5%
Cuomo: 48.6%

Michigan:
Cuomo: 49.7%
Ayotte: 49.0%

Pennsylvania:
Cuomo: 49.5%
Ayotte: 48.9%

Missouri:
Ayotte: 51.9%
Cuomo: 47.0%

Maine CD 2:
Ayotte: 49.4%
Cuomo: 49.3%

9:15

Ayotte/Rice: 180
Cuomo/O'Malley: 117

"And we project now that Senator Ayotte is the winner in the state of Virginia. Senator Ayotte is the winner in the battleground state of Virginia" -- John King

Virginia:
Ayotte: 51.8%
Cuomo: 47.3%

Ayotte/Rice: 193
Cuomo/O'Malley: 117

"Cuomo is running out of options to turn this thing around. I won't say it's over, but he needs to start racking up the states quickly." -- James Carville.

"And CNN is now projecting the state of Michigan for Governor Cuomo." -- John King

Michigan:
Cuomo: 49.7%
Ayotte: 49.1%

Ayotte/Rice: 193
Cuomo/O'Malley: 133
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #89 on: August 14, 2012, 09:30:04 PM »

Cool.  Interesting how Obama not leading the ticket shows IL being much closer
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NHI
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« Reply #90 on: August 15, 2012, 09:19:16 PM »

"...and Senator Ayotte is the winner in the state of Florida."

Ayotte/Rice:225
Cuomo/O'Malley: 134

"Cuomo needs to pull some states in line and fast, or this will be decided by eleven o'clock." -- James Carville.

Ohio:
Ayotte: 49.9%
Cuomo: 48.5%

Pennsylvania:
Ayotte: 49.5%
Cuomo: 49.2%

Wisconsin:
Cuomo: 49.7%
49.4%

"And CNN is now able to make a projection in the state of Ohio. Senator Ayotte has won the state of Colorado. Colorado is going back into the Republican column." -- John King

Colorado:
Ayotte: 51.0%
Cuomo: 47.5%

Ayotte/Rice: 234
Cuomo/O'Malley: 134

"The two candidates are separated by one hundred delegates." -- John King

Popular Vote:
Ayotte/Rice: 50.0%
Cuomo/O'Malley: 48.4%

10:02:
Ayotte/Rice: 243
Cuomo/O'Malley: 134

"And CNN is now ready to make a major projection in the state Ohio. Senator has won the state of Ohio." -- John King.

"It's over." -- James Carville.

"We're on the verge of history." -- Alex Castellanos

Ayotte/Rice: 261
Cuomo/O'Malley: 134

10:37

Kellly Ayotte Elected President, Arizona Puts Senator over the Top
AYOTTE MAKES HISTORY

Ayotte/Rice: 272
Cuomo/O'Malley: 134

Epilogue:

POLITICO: HISTORIC SWEEP

NYT: "WE MADE HISTORY"

BOSTON HERALD: IT'S AYOTTE!

Ayotte/Rice: 321 (50.6%)
Cuomo/O'Malley: 217 (47.9%)

Closest States:
Michigan:
Cuomo: 49.66%
Ayotte: 49.15%

New Mexico:
Cuomo: 49.50%
Ayotte: 49.38%

Pennsylvania:
Ayotte: 49.89%
Cuomo: 49.37%
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mondale84
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« Reply #91 on: August 15, 2012, 10:34:13 PM »

How is New Mexico close?
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #92 on: August 16, 2012, 12:58:23 AM »

Very good! I've always said that Illinois is a state that will trend Republican - that's just been delayed by Obama being on the ticket for two elections. I bet sometime in the 2020's, it votes Republican, even without a GOP landslide.
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mondale84
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« Reply #93 on: August 16, 2012, 02:08:03 PM »

Very good! I've always said that Illinois is a state that will trend Republican - that's just been delayed by Obama being on the ticket for two elections. I bet sometime in the 2020's, it votes Republican, even without a GOP landslide.

Except there's this thing called Cook county...
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #94 on: August 16, 2012, 09:12:09 PM »

Very good! I've always said that Illinois is a state that will trend Republican - that's just been delayed by Obama being on the ticket for two elections. I bet sometime in the 2020's, it votes Republican, even without a GOP landslide.

Except there's this thing called Cook county...

There's also this thing called LA and San Francisco, both of which Nixon won in 72.  Just saying....

I realize a GOP presidential nominee winning Chicago is unlikely, but they almost won the governorship and did win Obama's old senate seat in 2010
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Svensson
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« Reply #95 on: August 17, 2012, 01:37:26 AM »

Awesome. Likelihood of an Ayotte cabinet rundown before this closes out? Cheesy
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NHI
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« Reply #96 on: August 17, 2012, 05:47:46 AM »

Ayotte Cabinet:
Pres. Ayotte
Vice Pres. Rice
Chief of Staff: Rob Portman

Sec. of State: Jon Huntsman
Sec. of Treasury: Rand Paul
Sec. of Defense: Jim Talent
Attorney General: Chris Christie
Sec. of Interior: Ovide LaMontagne
Sec. of Agriculture: Tim Pawlenty
Sec. of of Commerce: Bob McDonnell
Sec. of Labor: Nikki Haley
Sec. of Health and Human Services
Sec. of Housing and Urban Development:
Sec. of Transportation: Ray LaHood
Sec. of Energy: John Thune
Sec. of Education: Susanna Martinez
Sec. of Veteran's Affairs: Daniel Akaka
Sec. of Homeland Security: Norm Coleman
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H.E. VOLODYMYR ZELENKSYY
Alfred F. Jones
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« Reply #97 on: August 17, 2012, 11:31:12 AM »

Really? A 300-vote landslide against a popular centrist Democrat? I get that Rice is popular, but that much?
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Jerseyrules
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« Reply #98 on: August 22, 2012, 10:37:22 PM »

Really? A 300-vote landslide against a popular centrist Democrat? I get that Rice is popular, but that much?

Remember its not that big of a landslide; Ayotte is also a centrist, and on top of that this is with an eight-year Democratic incumbent.  The most recent example would be 2000, and even Slick Willy's 60+% approval ratings couldn't save Gore, and Dubya came very close to carrying PA, OR, WI, MN, and MI that year, way more than 300 EV.
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