Obama's consistent narrow lead
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Devils30
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« on: July 18, 2012, 10:07:32 PM »

The attacks on Romney don't seem to be moving the polls much but I'm not sure Mitt should take comfort. They've definitely laid the groundwork for a barrage after the convention and unless Romney somewhat raises his favorables I'm confident Obama wins with a 48% approval.
   Of course if the economy tanks or surges then the bain attacks matter less.
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Jay20
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« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2012, 01:12:51 AM »

http://pollingreport.com/wh12.htm the fact that despite the attacks, as many, or more Americans think Romney would do a better job on the economy, is bad news for Obama. If Mitt takes comfort, he'll lose, but he seems to have learned from Kerry's mistakes to not take anything for granted. The GOP went after Clinton with Whitewater, Flowers, etc. after the 1992 conventions and look where it got them (and Perot was out of that race from July-October while Bush trailed Clinton by double digits for that time period). I think as Clinton brought his favorables up in 1992, Romney will do the same, this time by introducing his family. Chances are Romney has a war room ready like Clinton did, especially given what Obama's "government built it" gaffe.
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RedPrometheus
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« Reply #2 on: July 19, 2012, 10:06:56 AM »

http://pollingreport.com/wh12.htm the fact that despite the attacks, as many, or more Americans think Romney would do a better job on the economy, is bad news for Obama. If Mitt takes comfort, he'll lose, but he seems to have learned from Kerry's mistakes to not take anything for granted. The GOP went after Clinton with Whitewater, Flowers, etc. after the 1992 conventions and look where it got them (and Perot was out of that race from July-October while Bush trailed Clinton by double digits for that time period). I think as Clinton brought his favorables up in 1992, Romney will do the same, this time by introducing his family. Chances are Romney has a war room ready like Clinton did, especially given what Obama's "government built it" gaffe.

The polls in the link show at least a mixed message on would do a better job on the economy, in some instances they favor Obama. And Bush was in a significantly worse situation in '92 than Obama is now.
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anvi
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« Reply #3 on: July 19, 2012, 11:28:38 AM »

It's all within the margin of error, so the race is for all intents and purposes tied.  Unless something happens to break it open between now and November, nobody can take comfort in anything.  The only thing we know now is that it's going to be a knock-down, drag-out right up until the polls close unless something definitive happens before then.
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