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Author Topic: Purple Strategies: Close races in VA, CO, OH, FL  (Read 3183 times)
Miles
MilesC56
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« on: July 16, 2012, 01:35:20 pm »

Report.

VA
Obama- 46%
Romney- 44%

CO
Obama- 45%
Romney- 44%

OH
Obama- 48%
Romney- 45%

FL
Romney- 48%
Obama- 45%



On a lighter note, they also chose handful of companies and asked which candidate voters associate more with those companies:

BMW
Romney- 46%
Obama- 22%

GM
Obama- 55%
Romney- 22%

Apple
Obama- 41%
Romney- 33%

Nike
Obama- 45%
Romney- 29%

Microsoft
Romney- 40%
Obama- 33%
« Last Edit: July 16, 2012, 02:05:11 pm by MilesC56 »Logged
HagridOfTheDeep
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« Reply #1 on: July 16, 2012, 01:54:28 pm »

These numbers seem pretty accurate.
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memphis
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« Reply #2 on: July 16, 2012, 02:18:11 pm »


Nike
Obama- 45%
Romney- 29%


You see, Obama is a black.
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: July 16, 2012, 02:19:36 pm »

These numbers seem pretty accurate.

I'd maybe switch VA and OH, but yeah.
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True Federalist
Ernest
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« Reply #4 on: July 16, 2012, 02:25:57 pm »

On a lighter note, they also chose handful of companies and asked which candidate voters associate more with those companies:

BMW
Romney- 46%
Obama- 22%

Which is why those who think Obama has any chance of winning South Carolina are delusional.
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God-Empress Brie Larson
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« Reply #5 on: July 16, 2012, 02:52:08 pm »

The GM numbers could genuinely be helpful to Obama in Ohio, which is why I'm willing to believe that he's maybe a touch further up there than in Virginia.
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░tmthforu94░
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« Reply #6 on: July 16, 2012, 03:33:20 pm »

These numbers look about right.
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Dereich
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« Reply #7 on: July 16, 2012, 03:53:51 pm »

Apple
Obama- 41%
Romney- 33%

Microsoft
Romney- 40%
Obama- 33%

Is this election turning into one of those "I'm a Mac and I'm a PC ads?"
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MorningInAmerica
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« Reply #8 on: July 16, 2012, 03:58:31 pm »

This poll is also one of the few Likely Voter polls out there, it seems. They'll all be switching over pretty soon though I imagine.
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #9 on: July 16, 2012, 04:14:10 pm »

Wasn't Purple Strategies completely discredited last time they pulled this?
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God-Empress Brie Larson
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« Reply #10 on: July 16, 2012, 04:40:55 pm »

Wasn't Purple Strategies completely discredited last time they pulled this?

They're certainly not a 'good' pollster, but this poll doesn't appear to do some of the things that previous ones have done that made them quite so awful.
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olowakandi
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« Reply #11 on: July 16, 2012, 04:58:08 pm »

Same as always Obama is gonna win 268 electoral votes with Iowa being a boarderline battleground state going to him narrowly.  3 states that can put Obama above the 270 is VA, NH and OH. I don't think once Labor day rolls around that will be the only outcome there is with unemployment stalled at 8.0%.
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God-Empress Brie Larson
Nathan
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« Reply #12 on: July 16, 2012, 04:59:38 pm »

Might I remind us all that Virginia and Ohio are doing significantly better, relative to the nadir, than the rest of the country economically?
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olowakandi
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« Reply #13 on: July 16, 2012, 05:12:24 pm »

Yes, I do consider that, but with state and federal races shaping up in Ohio and VA and redistricting as a wash and Portman is gonna be the likely VP I will give Romney a slight edge in those to state only if Portman is the VP.
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PR
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« Reply #14 on: July 16, 2012, 05:13:34 pm »

I'm surprised CO is so close.
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timothyinMD
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« Reply #15 on: July 16, 2012, 05:46:21 pm »

This seems spot on.  I believe at this state in the race Obama has slight leads in Ohio, Colorado, Virginia and Romney a slight edge in Florida.

The Florida internals are intriguing.  It was the only state in which Romney was a net plus on favorable and Obama's job approval is atrocious.  I'm pretty bullish about Romney's Florida prospects
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Zioneer
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« Reply #16 on: July 16, 2012, 05:54:10 pm »

Seems legit. Within the margin of error, but still having the incumbent slightly ahead, which is what usually happens.
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Supersonic
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« Reply #17 on: July 16, 2012, 06:25:24 pm »

These numbers almost mimic Purple Strategies April poll.

April: CO - tie. OH - Obama +5. VA - Obama +2. FL - Romney +2.
July: CO - Obama +1. OH - Obama +3. VA - Obama +2. FL Romney +3.

This relative closeness of Colorado has to be incredibly encouraging to the Boston team.
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cavalcade
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« Reply #18 on: July 16, 2012, 08:19:19 pm »

Maybe just a little too tight on that LV screen (I see CO and VA as more Obama +~4) but I would rather have these guys polling on a regular basis than not.
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Sbane
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« Reply #19 on: July 16, 2012, 10:38:23 pm »

CO is certainly a state to watch. The only poll that has shown Obama with a huge lead is PPP. The others show it as being like Virginia. I would also like more Iowa polling....
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God-Empress Brie Larson
Nathan
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« Reply #20 on: July 17, 2012, 02:01:28 pm »

CO is certainly a state to watch. The only poll that has shown Obama with a huge lead is PPP. The others show it as being like Virginia. I would also like more Iowa polling....

I don't see any reason to believe that Obama will exactly romp in Colorado on Election Day, but I also don't see any reason to believe that he'll lose, so these kinds of numbers make sense. Iowa's definitely set to be closer but I'm still not convinced that Romney's minimum path to victory runs through there. I think it'll be quite close to the national PV.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #21 on: July 17, 2012, 02:02:59 pm »

I wish Mason-Dixon or SUSA would release a 10 or 15 swing state batch of polls.

But probably they are not wasting their money until after Labour Day.
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